Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Helsinki lows on August 29 near 14–16 °C amid southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 40–65 % chance of rain or thunderstorms overnight. These conditions limit radiative cooling while mild advection keeps surface temperatures from dropping sharply, supporting the clustered market probabilities around 12–15 °C. Historical late-August minima average near 12 °C, yet current guidance shows limited potential for sub-11 °C readings unless models trend cooler or winds calm under clearer skies. Traders appear to price residual uncertainty in exact overnight minimums, with the 10 °C-or-below outcome reflecting tail-risk scenarios from forecast revisions or localized cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のヘルシンキの最低気温は?
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
10°C or below 30%
13°C 27%
10°C or below
30%
11°C
13%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
20%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
10°C or below 30%
13°C 27%
10°C or below
30%
11°C
13%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Helsinki lows on August 29 near 14–16 °C amid southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 40–65 % chance of rain or thunderstorms overnight. These conditions limit radiative cooling while mild advection keeps surface temperatures from dropping sharply, supporting the clustered market probabilities around 12–15 °C. Historical late-August minima average near 12 °C, yet current guidance shows limited potential for sub-11 °C readings unless models trend cooler or winds calm under clearer skies. Traders appear to price residual uncertainty in exact overnight minimums, with the 10 °C-or-below outcome reflecting tail-risk scenarios from forecast revisions or localized cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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