Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models place the September 2 overnight low near 25–26°C, driving the market's leading 26°C (47.5%) and 25°C (30%) outcomes. Persistent northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limit radiational cooling under humid conditions typical of early September. Climatological normals show average lows of 24.7°C, yet recent model runs reflect slightly elevated minima due to moisture advection from nearby low-pressure systems. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing or heavier rainfall overnight, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の香港の最低気温は?
26°C 48%
25°C 30%
24°C 14%
29°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
30%
26°C
48%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
25°C 30%
24°C 14%
29°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
30%
26°C
48%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models place the September 2 overnight low near 25–26°C, driving the market's leading 26°C (47.5%) and 25°C (30%) outcomes. Persistent northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limit radiational cooling under humid conditions typical of early September. Climatological normals show average lows of 24.7°C, yet recent model runs reflect slightly elevated minima due to moisture advection from nearby low-pressure systems. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing or heavier rainfall overnight, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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