Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 21, 2026, from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate nighttime lows of 23–25°C under typical late-summer conditions with light winds and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with historical August averages near 24°C and supports the 92% market-implied probability for a daily minimum of 22°C or higher. The dominant trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on persistent warm advection without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted cold front or prolonged heavy precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest ensemble runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の済南の最低気温は?
22°C or higher 99%
20°C 3%
15°C 2%
16°C 2%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
99%
22°C or higher 99%
20°C 3%
15°C 2%
16°C 2%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 21, 2026, from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate nighttime lows of 23–25°C under typical late-summer conditions with light winds and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with historical August averages near 24°C and supports the 92% market-implied probability for a daily minimum of 22°C or higher. The dominant trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on persistent warm advection without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted cold front or prolonged heavy precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest ensemble runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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