Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日の済南の最低気温は？
9月8日の済南の最低気温は？
18℃ 99.5%
12℃以下 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
$2,669 Vol.
$2,669 Vol.
2026/09/08
12℃以下
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
はい
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃以上
いいえ
18℃ 99.5%
12℃以下 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
$2,669 Vol.
$2,669 Vol.
2026/09/08
12℃以下
$117 Vol.
いいえ
13℃
$449 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$135 Vol.
いいえ
15°C
$69 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$117 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$67 Vol.
いいえ
18℃
$140 Vol.
はい
19℃
$115 Vol.
いいえ
20℃
$145 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$225 Vol.
いいえ
22℃以上
$1,090 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$2,669終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,669終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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