Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving Istanbul's overnight radiative cooling on September 12, 2026, with forecast models converging on a minimum near 19–20°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where average lows reach about 17°C amid decreasing solar input and dew points around 16–18°C that limit further drops. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, supporting tight market-implied odds near 19°C and 21°C while assigning lower probabilities to outliers like 14°C or below, which would require unusual calm or advection not indicated in current data. Updated forecasts from official monitoring agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
9月12日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
14℃以下 92%
15°C 91%
16℃ 91%
17°C 91%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
14℃以下
92%
15°C
91%
16℃
91%
17°C
91%
18℃
91%
19℃
49%
20°C
44%
21℃
48%
22℃
<1%
23°C
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
14℃以下 92%
15°C 91%
16℃ 91%
17°C 91%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
14℃以下
$0 Vol.
92%
15°C
$0 Vol.
91%
16℃
$0 Vol.
91%
17°C
$135 Vol.
91%
18℃
$135 Vol.
91%
19℃
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$5 Vol.
44%
21℃
$3 Vol.
48%
22℃
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
24℃以上
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving Istanbul's overnight radiative cooling on September 12, 2026, with forecast models converging on a minimum near 19–20°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where average lows reach about 17°C amid decreasing solar input and dew points around 16–18°C that limit further drops. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, supporting tight market-implied odds near 19°C and 21°C while assigning lower probabilities to outliers like 14°C or below, which would require unusual calm or advection not indicated in current data. Updated forecasts from official monitoring agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$308終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving Istanbul's overnight radiative cooling on September 12, 2026, with forecast models converging on a minimum near 19–20°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where average lows reach about 17°C amid decreasing solar input and dew points around 16–18°C that limit further drops. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, supporting tight market-implied odds near 19°C and 21°C while assigning lower probabilities to outliers like 14°C or below, which would require unusual calm or advection not indicated in current data. Updated forecasts from official monitoring agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$308終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving Istanbul's overnight radiative cooling on September 12, 2026, with forecast models converging on a minimum near 19–20°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where average lows reach about 17°C amid decreasing solar input and dew points around 16–18°C that limit further drops. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, supporting tight market-implied odds near 19°C and 21°C while assigning lower probabilities to outliers like 14°C or below, which would require unusual calm or advection not indicated in current data. Updated forecasts from official monitoring agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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