Recent forecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds will set Qingdao's September 12 minimum near 21–24 °C, yet trader consensus splits between 18 °C and 19 °C at roughly even implied probabilities. Coastal location and moderate humidity limit sharp drops, while variable cloud cover and wind speed create uncertainty in the precise hourly low recorded at official stations. Model spreads and the narrow temperature bands separating outcomes explain the balanced odds across 15–19 °C thresholds, with fresh observational data expected to resolve the market by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の青島の最低気温は？
9月12日の青島の最低気温は？
15℃以下 90%
16℃ 90%
18℃ 51%
17°C 42%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
15℃以下
90%
16℃
90%
17°C
42%
18℃
51%
19℃
51%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
15℃以下 90%
16℃ 90%
18℃ 51%
17°C 42%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
15℃以下
$66 Vol.
90%
16℃
$32 Vol.
90%
17°C
$27 Vol.
42%
18℃
$0 Vol.
51%
19℃
$70 Vol.
51%
20℃
$386 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
25℃以上
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds will set Qingdao's September 12 minimum near 21–24 °C, yet trader consensus splits between 18 °C and 19 °C at roughly even implied probabilities. Coastal location and moderate humidity limit sharp drops, while variable cloud cover and wind speed create uncertainty in the precise hourly low recorded at official stations. Model spreads and the narrow temperature bands separating outcomes explain the balanced odds across 15–19 °C thresholds, with fresh observational data expected to resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$706終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds will set Qingdao's September 12 minimum near 21–24 °C, yet trader consensus splits between 18 °C and 19 °C at roughly even implied probabilities. Coastal location and moderate humidity limit sharp drops, while variable cloud cover and wind speed create uncertainty in the precise hourly low recorded at official stations. Model spreads and the narrow temperature bands separating outcomes explain the balanced odds across 15–19 °C thresholds, with fresh observational data expected to resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$706終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds will set Qingdao's September 12 minimum near 21–24 °C, yet trader consensus splits between 18 °C and 19 °C at roughly even implied probabilities. Coastal location and moderate humidity limit sharp drops, while variable cloud cover and wind speed create uncertainty in the precise hourly low recorded at official stations. Model spreads and the narrow temperature bands separating outcomes explain the balanced odds across 15–19 °C thresholds, with fresh observational data expected to resolve the market by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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