Recent Met Office forecasts for London point to overnight minimum temperatures of 17–18°C on June 19, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes amid a transitional weather pattern. A building ridge of high pressure across southern England is promoting clearer skies and reduced cloud cover, which allows for greater nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds, while daytime maxima are projected to reach 26–29°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread in low temperatures due to stable synoptic conditions, though small variations in wind speed or residual humidity could shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical June climatology for central London places average overnight lows near 12–14°C, making the current outlook mildly above normal and keeping probabilities for 16°C or lower subdued. Updated model runs and official guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月19日のロンドンの最低気温は?
18°C 31%
19°C 31%
17°C 20%
16°C 18%
14℃以下
16%
15℃
6%
16°C
18%
17°C
20%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22℃
5%
23℃
2%
24℃以上
1%
18°C 31%
19°C 31%
17°C 20%
16°C 18%
14℃以下
16%
15℃
6%
16°C
18%
17°C
20%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22℃
5%
23℃
2%
24℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts for London point to overnight minimum temperatures of 17–18°C on June 19, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes amid a transitional weather pattern. A building ridge of high pressure across southern England is promoting clearer skies and reduced cloud cover, which allows for greater nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds, while daytime maxima are projected to reach 26–29°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread in low temperatures due to stable synoptic conditions, though small variations in wind speed or residual humidity could shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical June climatology for central London places average overnight lows near 12–14°C, making the current outlook mildly above normal and keeping probabilities for 16°C or lower subdued. Updated model runs and official guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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