Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Shanghai on June 19, driven by persistent cloud cover and rainfall during the early mei-yu period, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with current extended forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 19–29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, as heavier showers could enhance cooling toward 22°C or below while clearer intervals might allow readings near 26°C. Historical June climatology places average lows around 20–22°C, but this year's warmer baseline and forecast moisture favor the central probabilities traders currently assign. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月19日の上海の最低気温は？
6月19日の上海の最低気温は？
24°C 33%
25°C 22%
23°C 22%
22℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/06/19
19°C以下
2%
20°C
6%
21℃
12%
22℃
16%
23°C
22%
24°C
33%
25°C
22%
26℃
14%
27°C
9%
28℃
1%
29℃以上
1%
24°C 33%
25°C 22%
23°C 22%
22℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/06/19
19°C以下
$47 Vol.
2%
20°C
$11 Vol.
6%
21℃
$0 Vol.
12%
22℃
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
33%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26℃
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$21 Vol.
9%
28℃
$106 Vol.
1%
29℃以上
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Shanghai on June 19, driven by persistent cloud cover and rainfall during the early mei-yu period, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with current extended forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 19–29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, as heavier showers could enhance cooling toward 22°C or below while clearer intervals might allow readings near 26°C. Historical June climatology places average lows around 20–22°C, but this year's warmer baseline and forecast moisture favor the central probabilities traders currently assign. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$222終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Shanghai on June 19, driven by persistent cloud cover and rainfall during the early mei-yu period, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with current extended forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 19–29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, as heavier showers could enhance cooling toward 22°C or below while clearer intervals might allow readings near 26°C. Historical June climatology places average lows around 20–22°C, but this year's warmer baseline and forecast moisture favor the central probabilities traders currently assign. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$222終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Shanghai on June 19, driven by persistent cloud cover and rainfall during the early mei-yu period, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with current extended forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light winds. The spread in market-implied odds across 19–29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, as heavier showers could enhance cooling toward 22°C or below while clearer intervals might allow readings near 26°C. Historical June climatology places average lows around 20–22°C, but this year's warmer baseline and forecast moisture favor the central probabilities traders currently assign. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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