Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus points to a daily minimum near 23–24°C in Shanghai on June 18, driven by persistent southerly flow and the ongoing Meiyu/plum-rain regime that favors cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderated overnight radiative cooling. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 20–22°C, but current mid-month observations and ensemble guidance indicate slightly above-normal boundary-layer moisture and weak winds that limit further nocturnal drops. Forecast spread remains modest, with most runs clustering between 22–25°C; any stronger onshore surge or clearer skies could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月18日の上海の最低気温は?
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
22°C 10.0%
25°C 6%
19°C以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21℃
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
6%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28℃
<1%
29°C以上
<1%
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
22°C 10.0%
25°C 6%
19°C以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21℃
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
6%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28℃
<1%
29°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus points to a daily minimum near 23–24°C in Shanghai on June 18, driven by persistent southerly flow and the ongoing Meiyu/plum-rain regime that favors cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderated overnight radiative cooling. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 20–22°C, but current mid-month observations and ensemble guidance indicate slightly above-normal boundary-layer moisture and weak winds that limit further nocturnal drops. Forecast spread remains modest, with most runs clustering between 22–25°C; any stronger onshore surge or clearer skies could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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