The active southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasts showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and 60-80% rain chances over Metro Manila on August 25. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, typically anchoring minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24-26°C baseline. Model consensus from agency outlooks points to a narrow diurnal range around 25-31°C, yet trader odds split sharply between sub-22°C and 31°C+ extremes because localized heavy downpours or brief clear spells can shift the overnight low by several degrees. No tropical cyclone is expected inside the PAR to alter steering or intensity patterns before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のマニラの最低気温は?
21℃以下 67%
31℃以上 67%
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
21℃以下
67%
22℃
1%
23°C
2%
24℃
23%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
22%
29°C
17%
30°C
2%
31℃以上
67%
21℃以下 67%
31℃以上 67%
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
21℃以下
67%
22℃
1%
23°C
2%
24℃
23%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
22%
29°C
17%
30°C
2%
31℃以上
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The active southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasts showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and 60-80% rain chances over Metro Manila on August 25. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, typically anchoring minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24-26°C baseline. Model consensus from agency outlooks points to a narrow diurnal range around 25-31°C, yet trader odds split sharply between sub-22°C and 31°C+ extremes because localized heavy downpours or brief clear spells can shift the overnight low by several degrees. No tropical cyclone is expected inside the PAR to alter steering or intensity patterns before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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