**Persistent high pressure and high humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Miami, keeping overnight lows near the August climatological average of 78°F.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for August 13, 2026, with recent model runs showing partly cloudy skies and light winds that prevent significant temperature drops. This setup aligns with historical patterns where daily lows rarely fall below 74–75°F in mid-August, explaining the market's strong consensus around 78–79°F (62% implied probability) and 76–77°F (30%). Recent observations from Miami International Airport confirm elevated dew points near 78°F, further suppressing cooling, while no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric conditions are expected to shift outcomes lower. Traders are weighting these stable subtropical dynamics heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting only small forecast uncertainties typical of short-range weather models.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のマイアミの最低気温は？
8月13日のマイアミの最低気温は？
78～79°F 72%
76～77°F 13%
74〜75°F 10%
72〜73°F <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
華氏69度以下
<1%
70〜71°F
<1%
72〜73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
10%
76～77°F
13%
78～79°F
72%
80〜81°F
<1%
82～83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86～87°F
<1%
88°F以上
<1%
78～79°F 72%
76～77°F 13%
74〜75°F 10%
72〜73°F <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
華氏69度以下
$308 Vol.
<1%
70〜71°F
$339 Vol.
<1%
72〜73°F
$116 Vol.
<1%
74〜75°F
$370 Vol.
10%
76～77°F
$304 Vol.
13%
78～79°F
$346 Vol.
72%
80〜81°F
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
82～83°F
$1,443 Vol.
<1%
84〜85°F
$415 Vol.
<1%
86～87°F
$438 Vol.
<1%
88°F以上
$396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and high humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Miami, keeping overnight lows near the August climatological average of 78°F.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for August 13, 2026, with recent model runs showing partly cloudy skies and light winds that prevent significant temperature drops. This setup aligns with historical patterns where daily lows rarely fall below 74–75°F in mid-August, explaining the market's strong consensus around 78–79°F (62% implied probability) and 76–77°F (30%). Recent observations from Miami International Airport confirm elevated dew points near 78°F, further suppressing cooling, while no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric conditions are expected to shift outcomes lower. Traders are weighting these stable subtropical dynamics heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting only small forecast uncertainties typical of short-range weather models.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$5,821終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and high humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Miami, keeping overnight lows near the August climatological average of 78°F.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for August 13, 2026, with recent model runs showing partly cloudy skies and light winds that prevent significant temperature drops. This setup aligns with historical patterns where daily lows rarely fall below 74–75°F in mid-August, explaining the market's strong consensus around 78–79°F (62% implied probability) and 76–77°F (30%). Recent observations from Miami International Airport confirm elevated dew points near 78°F, further suppressing cooling, while no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric conditions are expected to shift outcomes lower. Traders are weighting these stable subtropical dynamics heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting only small forecast uncertainties typical of short-range weather models.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,821終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET**Persistent high pressure and high humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Miami, keeping overnight lows near the August climatological average of 78°F.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for August 13, 2026, with recent model runs showing partly cloudy skies and light winds that prevent significant temperature drops. This setup aligns with historical patterns where daily lows rarely fall below 74–75°F in mid-August, explaining the market's strong consensus around 78–79°F (62% implied probability) and 76–77°F (30%). Recent observations from Miami International Airport confirm elevated dew points near 78°F, further suppressing cooling, while no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric conditions are expected to shift outcomes lower. Traders are weighting these stable subtropical dynamics heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting only small forecast uncertainties typical of short-range weather models.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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