Forecast uncertainty across numerical weather prediction ensembles is the main driver keeping Munich's August 27 minimum temperature market probabilities clustered between 12 °C and 16 °C. Late-summer synoptic patterns over central Europe, including variable low-level advection and nocturnal cloud cover, produce a wide spread in model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs. Traders weigh historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 14–15 °C) against current surface observations and projected boundary-layer decoupling, with no single outcome exceeding 31 % implied probability. New model cycles and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のミュンヘンの最低気温は？
8月27日のミュンヘンの最低気温は？
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
14°C 27%
12°C 23%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
10°C or below
15%
11°C
12%
12°C
23%
13°C
21%
14°C
27%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
17%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
13%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
14°C 27%
12°C 23%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
15%
11°C
$0 Vol.
12%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
17%
18°C
$0 Vol.
16%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty across numerical weather prediction ensembles is the main driver keeping Munich's August 27 minimum temperature market probabilities clustered between 12 °C and 16 °C. Late-summer synoptic patterns over central Europe, including variable low-level advection and nocturnal cloud cover, produce a wide spread in model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs. Traders weigh historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 14–15 °C) against current surface observations and projected boundary-layer decoupling, with no single outcome exceeding 31 % implied probability. New model cycles and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty across numerical weather prediction ensembles is the main driver keeping Munich's August 27 minimum temperature market probabilities clustered between 12 °C and 16 °C. Late-summer synoptic patterns over central Europe, including variable low-level advection and nocturnal cloud cover, produce a wide spread in model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs. Traders weigh historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 14–15 °C) against current surface observations and projected boundary-layer decoupling, with no single outcome exceeding 31 % implied probability. New model cycles and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast uncertainty across numerical weather prediction ensembles is the main driver keeping Munich's August 27 minimum temperature market probabilities clustered between 12 °C and 16 °C. Late-summer synoptic patterns over central Europe, including variable low-level advection and nocturnal cloud cover, produce a wide spread in model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs. Traders weigh historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 14–15 °C) against current surface observations and projected boundary-layer decoupling, with no single outcome exceeding 31 % implied probability. New model cycles and observational updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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