Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C as the most probable overnight minimum in Panama City amid the ongoing rainy season, with 25°C and 26°C each implied at 34%. Persistent high humidity near 80–90% and frequent convective cloud cover from the ITCZ limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and light winds further moderate temperature drops. Official guidance shows model spreads of 25–27°C depending on exact timing and intensity of precipitation, producing the tight clustering around these outcomes. Historical August lows average near 24–25°C, but current conditions with elevated moisture and potential for clearer breaks overnight introduce the observed uncertainty among adjacent thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のパナマシティの最低気温は?
22°C 46%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
24°C 30%
$3,381 Vol.
$3,381 Vol.
21°C or below
1%
22°C
46%
23°C
4%
24°C
30%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
24°C 30%
$3,381 Vol.
$3,381 Vol.
21°C or below
1%
22°C
46%
23°C
4%
24°C
30%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C as the most probable overnight minimum in Panama City amid the ongoing rainy season, with 25°C and 26°C each implied at 34%. Persistent high humidity near 80–90% and frequent convective cloud cover from the ITCZ limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms and light winds further moderate temperature drops. Official guidance shows model spreads of 25–27°C depending on exact timing and intensity of precipitation, producing the tight clustering around these outcomes. Historical August lows average near 24–25°C, but current conditions with elevated moisture and potential for clearer breaks overnight introduce the observed uncertainty among adjacent thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問