Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao near 19°C on September 18, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light southeast winds. This positions the 18°C outcome as the market leader due to typical nighttime radiative cooling moderated by coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea and moderate humidity levels around 70-85%. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on stable autumn conditions without significant cold advection, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could push readings to 17°C or 16°C. Upcoming hourly observations from local stations will refine these implied probabilities as the night progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日の青島の最低気温は?
17℃ 82%
16℃以下 79%
19℃ <1%
20℃ <1%
16℃以下
79%
17℃
82%
18℃
-
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
17℃ 82%
16℃以下 79%
19℃ <1%
20℃ <1%
16℃以下
79%
17℃
82%
18℃
-
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao near 19°C on September 18, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light southeast winds. This positions the 18°C outcome as the market leader due to typical nighttime radiative cooling moderated by coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea and moderate humidity levels around 70-85%. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on stable autumn conditions without significant cold advection, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could push readings to 17°C or 16°C. Upcoming hourly observations from local stations will refine these implied probabilities as the night progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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