Latest National Weather Service forecasts point to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 2, driven by a persistent marine layer that has suppressed temperatures well below seasonal norms. This layer, reinforced by southwest flow and light winds, promotes fog and stratus that limit radiational cooling while keeping readings close to the historical average low of 56°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day change, yet subtle shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or marine intrusion timing can alter the precise minimum by 2–4°F, producing the market’s broad distribution across 50–67°F buckets and near-zero odds for 68°F or higher. Updated NWS guidance tonight will further refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
9月2日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
49°F以下 100%
50〜51°F 100%
52〜53°F 100%
54～55°F 100%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
49°F以下
100%
50〜51°F
100%
52〜53°F
100%
54～55°F
100%
56〜57°F
100%
58〜59°F
100%
60〜61°F
100%
62～63°F
100%
64〜65°F
100%
66～67°F
100%
68°F以上
2%
49°F以下 100%
50〜51°F 100%
52〜53°F 100%
54～55°F 100%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
49°F以下
$15 Vol.
100%
50〜51°F
$15 Vol.
100%
52〜53°F
$0 Vol.
100%
54～55°F
$0 Vol.
100%
56〜57°F
$0 Vol.
100%
58〜59°F
$0 Vol.
100%
60〜61°F
$0 Vol.
100%
62～63°F
$15 Vol.
100%
64〜65°F
$5 Vol.
100%
66～67°F
$5 Vol.
100%
68°F以上
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts point to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 2, driven by a persistent marine layer that has suppressed temperatures well below seasonal norms. This layer, reinforced by southwest flow and light winds, promotes fog and stratus that limit radiational cooling while keeping readings close to the historical average low of 56°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day change, yet subtle shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or marine intrusion timing can alter the precise minimum by 2–4°F, producing the market’s broad distribution across 50–67°F buckets and near-zero odds for 68°F or higher. Updated NWS guidance tonight will further refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
音量
$60終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts point to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 2, driven by a persistent marine layer that has suppressed temperatures well below seasonal norms. This layer, reinforced by southwest flow and light winds, promotes fog and stratus that limit radiational cooling while keeping readings close to the historical average low of 56°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day change, yet subtle shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or marine intrusion timing can alter the precise minimum by 2–4°F, producing the market’s broad distribution across 50–67°F buckets and near-zero odds for 68°F or higher. Updated NWS guidance tonight will further refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$60終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts point to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 2, driven by a persistent marine layer that has suppressed temperatures well below seasonal norms. This layer, reinforced by southwest flow and light winds, promotes fog and stratus that limit radiational cooling while keeping readings close to the historical average low of 56°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day change, yet subtle shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or marine intrusion timing can alter the precise minimum by 2–4°F, producing the market’s broad distribution across 50–67°F buckets and near-zero odds for 68°F or higher. Updated NWS guidance tonight will further refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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