Current KMA guidance and ensemble model runs position the Incheon station's overnight minimum near 23–25°C for August 27, driving the market's concentration on 24–26°C outcomes amid typical late-summer humidity and limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea have maintained elevated nighttime readings, consistent with recent August climatology showing average lows near 23–24°C at the station. Short-range forecasts exhibit modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible light showers, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded between 9 p.m. local time on the 26th and 9 a.m. on the 27th. Updated KMA briefings and model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
25°C 34%
26℃ 27%
27℃ 13%
24°C 10%
20℃以下
2%
21°C
1%
22℃
4%
23℃
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
34%
26℃
38%
27℃
13%
28°C
4%
29℃
1%
30℃以上
1%
25°C 34%
26℃ 27%
27℃ 13%
24°C 10%
20℃以下
2%
21°C
1%
22℃
4%
23℃
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
34%
26℃
38%
27℃
13%
28°C
4%
29℃
1%
30℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current KMA guidance and ensemble model runs position the Incheon station's overnight minimum near 23–25°C for August 27, driving the market's concentration on 24–26°C outcomes amid typical late-summer humidity and limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea have maintained elevated nighttime readings, consistent with recent August climatology showing average lows near 23–24°C at the station. Short-range forecasts exhibit modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible light showers, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded between 9 p.m. local time on the 26th and 9 a.m. on the 27th. Updated KMA briefings and model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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