Recent forecasts from multiple models show Shenzhen's overnight low on September 2 clustered near 24–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds, reflecting residual moisture and weak circulation from earlier tropical systems. This keeps radiative cooling modest while dew points remain elevated near 23–25 °C, limiting how far temperatures can fall. Historical September climatology places average lows around 24 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms absent a stronger cold surge or clear-sky episode. Traders assign near-even odds to 24 °C and 25 °C because small differences in forecast cloud timing or wind mixing can shift the minimum by 1 °C; updated high-resolution runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will narrow that spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の深センの最低気温は?
25°C 100%
24°C 89%
23°C 88%
20°C or below 86%
20°C or below
86%
21°C
20%
22°C
18%
23°C
88%
24°C
89%
25°C
100%
26°C
78%
27°C
45%
28°C
43%
29°C
43%
30°C or higher
48%
25°C 100%
24°C 89%
23°C 88%
20°C or below 86%
20°C or below
86%
21°C
20%
22°C
18%
23°C
88%
24°C
89%
25°C
100%
26°C
78%
27°C
45%
28°C
43%
29°C
43%
30°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models show Shenzhen's overnight low on September 2 clustered near 24–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds, reflecting residual moisture and weak circulation from earlier tropical systems. This keeps radiative cooling modest while dew points remain elevated near 23–25 °C, limiting how far temperatures can fall. Historical September climatology places average lows around 24 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms absent a stronger cold surge or clear-sky episode. Traders assign near-even odds to 24 °C and 25 °C because small differences in forecast cloud timing or wind mixing can shift the minimum by 1 °C; updated high-resolution runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will narrow that spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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