**Trader consensus has converged on a 22°C low for Tokyo on September 18 as the dominant outcome, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models such as GFS.** Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures near 21-22°C (approximately 70-72°F) through the evening hours. Multiple sources show overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns. While forecast models carry some uncertainty in exact timing and microscale variations at the official measurement site, a shift below 21°C would require clearer skies or stronger cooling than currently indicated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日の東京の最低気温は？
9月18日の東京の最低気温は？
22℃ 100.0%
14℃以下 <1%
15℃ <1%
16℃ <1%
$6,160 Vol.
$6,160 Vol.
2026/09/18
14℃以下
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
はい
23℃
いいえ
24℃以上
いいえ
22℃ 100.0%
14℃以下 <1%
15℃ <1%
16℃ <1%
$6,160 Vol.
$6,160 Vol.
2026/09/18
14℃以下
$53 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$53 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$53 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$176 Vol.
いいえ
18℃
$483 Vol.
いいえ
19°C
$2,448 Vol.
いいえ
20℃
$1,654 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$605 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$473 Vol.
はい
23℃
$62 Vol.
いいえ
24℃以上
$101 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 22°C low for Tokyo on September 18 as the dominant outcome, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models such as GFS.** Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures near 21-22°C (approximately 70-72°F) through the evening hours. Multiple sources show overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns. While forecast models carry some uncertainty in exact timing and microscale variations at the official measurement site, a shift below 21°C would require clearer skies or stronger cooling than currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$6,160終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 22°C low for Tokyo on September 18 as the dominant outcome, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models such as GFS.** Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures near 21-22°C (approximately 70-72°F) through the evening hours. Multiple sources show overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns. While forecast models carry some uncertainty in exact timing and microscale variations at the official measurement site, a shift below 21°C would require clearer skies or stronger cooling than currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,160終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Trader consensus has converged on a 22°C low for Tokyo on September 18 as the dominant outcome, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models such as GFS.** Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures near 21-22°C (approximately 70-72°F) through the evening hours. Multiple sources show overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns. While forecast models carry some uncertainty in exact timing and microscale variations at the official measurement site, a shift below 21°C would require clearer skies or stronger cooling than currently indicated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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