Forecasts from official and numerical models point to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating while promoting gradual overnight cooling under high humidity. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and dew points near 19°C, keeping the overnight low from dropping below 20°C or rising above 22°C. Thunderstorm activity and elevated moisture further suppress radiative cooling, aligning with historical September patterns under similar synoptic setups. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with new observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency expected to refine the final recorded minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日の東京の最低気温は？
9月9日の東京の最低気温は？
19°C以下 2%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
25°C <1%
$9,745 Vol.
$9,745 Vol.
2026/09/09
19°C以下
2%
20℃
37%
21℃
64%
22℃
48%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C以上
<1%
19°C以下 2%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
25°C <1%
$9,745 Vol.
$9,745 Vol.
2026/09/09
19°C以下
$145 Vol.
2%
20℃
$674 Vol.
37%
21℃
$1,133 Vol.
64%
22℃
$656 Vol.
48%
23℃
$3,358 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$1,635 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$760 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$303 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$800 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$101 Vol.
<1%
29°C以上
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from official and numerical models point to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating while promoting gradual overnight cooling under high humidity. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and dew points near 19°C, keeping the overnight low from dropping below 20°C or rising above 22°C. Thunderstorm activity and elevated moisture further suppress radiative cooling, aligning with historical September patterns under similar synoptic setups. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with new observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency expected to refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$9,745終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from official and numerical models point to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating while promoting gradual overnight cooling under high humidity. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and dew points near 19°C, keeping the overnight low from dropping below 20°C or rising above 22°C. Thunderstorm activity and elevated moisture further suppress radiative cooling, aligning with historical September patterns under similar synoptic setups. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with new observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency expected to refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,745終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecasts from official and numerical models point to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating while promoting gradual overnight cooling under high humidity. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and dew points near 19°C, keeping the overnight low from dropping below 20°C or rising above 22°C. Thunderstorm activity and elevated moisture further suppress radiative cooling, aligning with historical September patterns under similar synoptic setups. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with new observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency expected to refine the final recorded minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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