Current forecast models from sources including IMGW and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 2 likely falling between 12–15°C, driven by building high pressure (around 1019 hPa), light westerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that promote nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–24°C. Recent model runs show consistent cooling from the prior warm, unsettled pattern, with low precipitation risk reducing latent heat effects. Uncertainty in exact overnight lows—tied to boundary layer mixing and precise cloud cover—underpins the tight market clustering around 11–14°C outcomes versus warmer possibilities, with historical early-September minima in Warsaw averaging near 12°C providing context for trader assessments ahead of official station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月2日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
14°C 100%
19°C or higher 100%
11°C 95%
12°C 95%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
9°C or below
14%
10°C
85%
11°C
95%
12°C
95%
13°C
91%
14°C
100%
15°C
31%
16°C
93%
17°C
15%
18°C
95%
19°C or higher
100%
14°C 100%
19°C or higher 100%
11°C 95%
12°C 95%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
14%
10°C
$69 Vol.
85%
11°C
$0 Vol.
95%
12°C
$0 Vol.
95%
13°C
$0 Vol.
91%
14°C
$0 Vol.
100%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$15 Vol.
93%
17°C
$20 Vol.
15%
18°C
$5 Vol.
95%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including IMGW and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 2 likely falling between 12–15°C, driven by building high pressure (around 1019 hPa), light westerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that promote nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–24°C. Recent model runs show consistent cooling from the prior warm, unsettled pattern, with low precipitation risk reducing latent heat effects. Uncertainty in exact overnight lows—tied to boundary layer mixing and precise cloud cover—underpins the tight market clustering around 11–14°C outcomes versus warmer possibilities, with historical early-September minima in Warsaw averaging near 12°C providing context for trader assessments ahead of official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$119終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including IMGW and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 2 likely falling between 12–15°C, driven by building high pressure (around 1019 hPa), light westerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that promote nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–24°C. Recent model runs show consistent cooling from the prior warm, unsettled pattern, with low precipitation risk reducing latent heat effects. Uncertainty in exact overnight lows—tied to boundary layer mixing and precise cloud cover—underpins the tight market clustering around 11–14°C outcomes versus warmer possibilities, with historical early-September minima in Warsaw averaging near 12°C providing context for trader assessments ahead of official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$119終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including IMGW and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 2 likely falling between 12–15°C, driven by building high pressure (around 1019 hPa), light westerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that promote nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–24°C. Recent model runs show consistent cooling from the prior warm, unsettled pattern, with low precipitation risk reducing latent heat effects. Uncertainty in exact overnight lows—tied to boundary layer mixing and precise cloud cover—underpins the tight market clustering around 11–14°C outcomes versus warmer possibilities, with historical early-September minima in Warsaw averaging near 12°C providing context for trader assessments ahead of official station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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