Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate a mild overnight period on September 3–4 driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a passing low-pressure system that limits radiative cooling. Official model guidance shows minimum temperatures most likely settling between 15–16 °C, with the precise value hinging on the timing and intensity of showers plus boundary-layer wind speeds. This narrow range produces the near-even market-implied odds around those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 14 °C or below reflect the reduced potential for clear-sky cooling under the expected overcast conditions. Updated short-range runs from global and regional models will provide the final refinement before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月4日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
14℃ 71%
18℃ 71%
19°C 71%
13℃ 70%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
12℃以下
49%
13℃
70%
14℃
71%
15℃
52%
16°C
49%
17℃
70%
18℃
71%
19°C
71%
20°C
8%
21℃
2%
22℃以上
49%
14℃ 71%
18℃ 71%
19°C 71%
13℃ 70%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
12℃以下
$0 Vol.
49%
13℃
$0 Vol.
70%
14℃
$0 Vol.
71%
15℃
$0 Vol.
52%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17℃
$0 Vol.
70%
18℃
$0 Vol.
71%
19°C
$0 Vol.
71%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21℃
$0 Vol.
2%
22℃以上
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate a mild overnight period on September 3–4 driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a passing low-pressure system that limits radiative cooling. Official model guidance shows minimum temperatures most likely settling between 15–16 °C, with the precise value hinging on the timing and intensity of showers plus boundary-layer wind speeds. This narrow range produces the near-even market-implied odds around those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 14 °C or below reflect the reduced potential for clear-sky cooling under the expected overcast conditions. Updated short-range runs from global and regional models will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate a mild overnight period on September 3–4 driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a passing low-pressure system that limits radiative cooling. Official model guidance shows minimum temperatures most likely settling between 15–16 °C, with the precise value hinging on the timing and intensity of showers plus boundary-layer wind speeds. This narrow range produces the near-even market-implied odds around those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 14 °C or below reflect the reduced potential for clear-sky cooling under the expected overcast conditions. Updated short-range runs from global and regional models will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts for Warsaw indicate a mild overnight period on September 3–4 driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a passing low-pressure system that limits radiative cooling. Official model guidance shows minimum temperatures most likely settling between 15–16 °C, with the precise value hinging on the timing and intensity of showers plus boundary-layer wind speeds. This narrow range produces the near-even market-implied odds around those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 14 °C or below reflect the reduced potential for clear-sky cooling under the expected overcast conditions. Updated short-range runs from global and regional models will provide the final refinement before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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