Current forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to Wuhan overnight lows of 25–27°C on August 26, reflecting the influence of a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge that promotes clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling. This positioning creates tight uncertainty around the exact minimum, as small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or weak moisture advection from lingering regional patterns could push the low below 24°C or hold it near 28°C. Historical August climatology shows typical daily minima of 24–27°C in Wuhan, with recent heatwave conditions across central China providing limited precedent for cooler outliers. Updated model runs and CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の武漢の最低気温は?
23°C or below 60%
33°C or higher 60%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
23°C or below
60%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C
42%
33°C or higher
60%
23°C or below 60%
33°C or higher 60%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
23°C or below
60%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C
42%
33°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to Wuhan overnight lows of 25–27°C on August 26, reflecting the influence of a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge that promotes clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling. This positioning creates tight uncertainty around the exact minimum, as small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or weak moisture advection from lingering regional patterns could push the low below 24°C or hold it near 28°C. Historical August climatology shows typical daily minima of 24–27°C in Wuhan, with recent heatwave conditions across central China providing limited precedent for cooler outliers. Updated model runs and CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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