The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日MA-06 House Election Winner
MA-06 House Election Winner
$17,335 Vol.
$17,335 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,335 Vol.
$17,335 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
$8,121 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$9,233 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$17,335終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,335終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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