Massachusetts's 6th congressional district has long been a reliably Democratic seat in a state where no Republican has won a House race since 1994. With incumbent Seth Moulton retiring to pursue a Senate bid, the September 1 Democratic primary will select the nominee in a crowded field that includes several local figures, while the Republican side features a repeat candidate with limited visibility. Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan composition and historical margins. Trader consensus at 95.8% for Democrats aligns with this baseline, though a major scandal, unexpected primary outcome, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,917 Vol.
$26,917 Vol.
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$26,917 Vol.
$26,917 Vol.
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 6th congressional district has long been a reliably Democratic seat in a state where no Republican has won a House race since 1994. With incumbent Seth Moulton retiring to pursue a Senate bid, the September 1 Democratic primary will select the nominee in a crowded field that includes several local figures, while the Republican side features a repeat candidate with limited visibility. Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan composition and historical margins. Trader consensus at 95.8% for Democrats aligns with this baseline, though a major scandal, unexpected primary outcome, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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