The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's pronounced Democratic lean drives the overwhelming market consensus for a Democratic nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. The open seat, following incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has produced a competitive September 1 Democratic primary among candidates including Tram Nguyen, Dan Koh, and others, with polling showing no clear early frontrunner. Republican Micah Jones faces the general election as the presumptive nominee in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing reflects established partisan patterns and limited crossover appeal in this northeastern Massachusetts constituency. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, major scandal, or unusual national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on historical voting data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,077 Vol.
$27,077 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$27,077 Vol.
$27,077 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$15,759 Vol.
97%
共和党
$11,318 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's pronounced Democratic lean drives the overwhelming market consensus for a Democratic nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. The open seat, following incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has produced a competitive September 1 Democratic primary among candidates including Tram Nguyen, Dan Koh, and others, with polling showing no clear early frontrunner. Republican Micah Jones faces the general election as the presumptive nominee in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing reflects established partisan patterns and limited crossover appeal in this northeastern Massachusetts constituency. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, major scandal, or unusual national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on historical voting data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$27,077終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's pronounced Democratic lean drives the overwhelming market consensus for a Democratic nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. The open seat, following incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has produced a competitive September 1 Democratic primary among candidates including Tram Nguyen, Dan Koh, and others, with polling showing no clear early frontrunner. Republican Micah Jones faces the general election as the presumptive nominee in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing reflects established partisan patterns and limited crossover appeal in this northeastern Massachusetts constituency. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, major scandal, or unusual national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on historical voting data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,077終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's pronounced Democratic lean drives the overwhelming market consensus for a Democratic nominee to prevail in the November 2026 general election. The open seat, following incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has produced a competitive September 1 Democratic primary among candidates including Tram Nguyen, Dan Koh, and others, with polling showing no clear early frontrunner. Republican Micah Jones faces the general election as the presumptive nominee in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing reflects established partisan patterns and limited crossover appeal in this northeastern Massachusetts constituency. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, major scandal, or unusual national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on historical voting data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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