Recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD holding a stable lead near 35-36 percent, while the SPD has consolidated second place at 28-29 percent and widened its margin over the Linke, CDU, and smaller parties. This positioning, reinforced by the latest Infratest dimap and INSA surveys, drives trader consensus that the SPD will finish second, reflected in its dominant market share. The CDU’s continued decline to single digits and limited movement among other contenders have kept alternative second-place scenarios at negligible implied probabilities. With roughly six weeks until election day, any shift in SPD momentum or AfD consolidation could still alter the ranking, though current trends favor continuity in the top two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日SPD 87%
AfD 12.8%
CDU <1%
FW <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
SPD
87%
AfD
13%
CDU
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
リンク
<1%
グリューネ
<1%
SPD 87%
AfD 12.8%
CDU <1%
FW <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
SPD
$1,102 Vol.
87%
AfD
$1,371 Vol.
13%
CDU
$381 Vol.
<1%
FW
$458 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$349 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$610 Vol.
<1%
リンク
$424 Vol.
<1%
グリューネ
$395 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD holding a stable lead near 35-36 percent, while the SPD has consolidated second place at 28-29 percent and widened its margin over the Linke, CDU, and smaller parties. This positioning, reinforced by the latest Infratest dimap and INSA surveys, drives trader consensus that the SPD will finish second, reflected in its dominant market share. The CDU’s continued decline to single digits and limited movement among other contenders have kept alternative second-place scenarios at negligible implied probabilities. With roughly six weeks until election day, any shift in SPD momentum or AfD consolidation could still alter the ranking, though current trends favor continuity in the top two.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
音量
$5,090終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD holding a stable lead near 35-36 percent, while the SPD has consolidated second place at 28-29 percent and widened its margin over the Linke, CDU, and smaller parties. This positioning, reinforced by the latest Infratest dimap and INSA surveys, drives trader consensus that the SPD will finish second, reflected in its dominant market share. The CDU’s continued decline to single digits and limited movement among other contenders have kept alternative second-place scenarios at negligible implied probabilities. With roughly six weeks until election day, any shift in SPD momentum or AfD consolidation could still alter the ranking, though current trends favor continuity in the top two.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
音量
$5,090終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD holding a stable lead near 35-36 percent, while the SPD has consolidated second place at 28-29 percent and widened its margin over the Linke, CDU, and smaller parties. This positioning, reinforced by the latest Infratest dimap and INSA surveys, drives trader consensus that the SPD will finish second, reflected in its dominant market share. The CDU’s continued decline to single digits and limited movement among other contenders have kept alternative second-place scenarios at negligible implied probabilities. With roughly six weeks until election day, any shift in SPD momentum or AfD consolidation could still alter the ranking, though current trends favor continuity in the top two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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