Recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show AfD leading at around 35-36 percent, followed by SPD at 28-29 percent. Die Linke holds steady in third place at 11-13 percent across July surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA, ahead of CDU at 9-10 percent. Smaller parties including Grüne, BSW, and FDP trail further behind the five-percent threshold. This positioning has remained consistent in polling trends over recent months, supporting trader consensus on Linke as the implied favorite for third while leaving limited room for shifts from CDU or others absent major late developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日リンクェ 75%
CDU 20%
グリューネ 3.9%
FDP 2.4%

リンクェ
75%

CDU
20%

グリューネ
4%

FDP
2%

BSW
2%

SPD
2%

AfD
2%

FW
1%
リンクェ 75%
CDU 20%
グリューネ 3.9%
FDP 2.4%

リンクェ
75%

CDU
20%

グリューネ
4%

FDP
2%

BSW
2%

SPD
2%

AfD
2%

FW
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show AfD leading at around 35-36 percent, followed by SPD at 28-29 percent. Die Linke holds steady in third place at 11-13 percent across July surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA, ahead of CDU at 9-10 percent. Smaller parties including Grüne, BSW, and FDP trail further behind the five-percent threshold. This positioning has remained consistent in polling trends over recent months, supporting trader consensus on Linke as the implied favorite for third while leaving limited room for shifts from CDU or others absent major late developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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