Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Democrat Trina Swanson in the November 3 general election for Minnesota's 8th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean reflected in its R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the 2024 presidential margin favoring the GOP by double digits, alongside Stauber's 58% reelection performance that cycle. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing incumbency advantages, fundraising, and voter base alignment that underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. No major developments since the primaries have shifted positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,700 Vol.
$20,700 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
$20,700 Vol.
$20,700 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$11,185 Vol.
85%
民主党
$9,514 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Democrat Trina Swanson in the November 3 general election for Minnesota's 8th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean reflected in its R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the 2024 presidential margin favoring the GOP by double digits, alongside Stauber's 58% reelection performance that cycle. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing incumbency advantages, fundraising, and voter base alignment that underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. No major developments since the primaries have shifted positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$20,700終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Democrat Trina Swanson in the November 3 general election for Minnesota's 8th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean reflected in its R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the 2024 presidential margin favoring the GOP by double digits, alongside Stauber's 58% reelection performance that cycle. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing incumbency advantages, fundraising, and voter base alignment that underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. No major developments since the primaries have shifted positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,700終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Democrat Trina Swanson in the November 3 general election for Minnesota's 8th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean reflected in its R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the 2024 presidential margin favoring the GOP by double digits, alongside Stauber's 58% reelection performance that cycle. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing incumbency advantages, fundraising, and voter base alignment that underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. No major developments since the primaries have shifted positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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