Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,074 Vol.
2026/07/22
7月22日
いいえ
7月25日
いいえ
7月31日
いいえ
8月31日
はい
$48,074 Vol.
7月22日
$1,065 Vol.
いいえ
7月25日
$1,682 Vol.
いいえ
7月31日
$2,110 Vol.
いいえ
8月31日
$43,217 Vol.
はい
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
音量
$48,074終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$48,074終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory have repeatedly triggered simultaneous flight suspensions at Moscow’s three main airports—Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO)—as Rosaviatsia imposes temporary restrictions to enable air-defense operations and ensure safety. Multiple incidents occurred in May and June 2026, including large-scale barrages that closed all relevant hubs for several hours, with additional measures in July lowering maximum altitudes and banning transit flights over the region until at least late August. These patterns reflect sustained conflict dynamics and defense protocols rather than isolated weather or technical events. The market’s implied probability reflects trader assessment of continued strike frequency within the resolution window through August 31, 2026, with any major de-escalation or shift in Ukrainian capabilities potentially altering outcomes before expiry.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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