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選挙·グローバル選挙

次回のフランス大統領選挙

icon for 次回のフランス大統領選挙
選挙·グローバル選挙

次回のフランス大統領選挙

ジョルダン・バルデラ 23%

エドゥアール・フィリップ 20%

ジャン＝リュック・メランション 11%

マリーヌ・ル・ペン 6%

Polymarket

$73,140,983 Vol.

ジョルダン・バルデラ 23%

エドゥアール・フィリップ 20%

ジャン＝リュック・メランション 11%

マリーヌ・ル・ペン 6%

Polymarket

$73,140,983 Vol.

icon for ジョルダン・バルデラ

ジョルダン・バルデラ

$898,456 Vol.

23%

icon for エドゥアール・フィリップ

エドゥアール・フィリップ

$708,125 Vol.

20%

icon for ジャン＝リュック・メランション

ジャン＝リュック・メランション

$558,564 Vol.

11%

icon for マリーヌ・ル・ペン

マリーヌ・ル・ペン

$527,984 Vol.

6%

icon for ドミニク・ド・ヴィルパン

ドミニク・ド・ヴィルパン

$1,208,450 Vol.

5%

icon for ダヴィッド・リスナール

ダヴィッド・リスナール

$1,159,085 Vol.

5%

icon for フランソワ・オランド

フランソワ・オランド

$1,023,086 Vol.

5%

icon for ガブリエル・アタル

ガブリエル・アタル

$1,243,822 Vol.

3%

icon for ブルーノ・ルテイエロー

ブルーノ・ルテイエロー

$1,368,546 Vol.

3%

icon for ラファエル・グリュックスマン

ラファエル・グリュックスマン

$843,039 Vol.

2%

icon for サラ・クナフォ

サラ・クナフォ

$1,306,716 Vol.

2%

icon for エリック・ゼムール

エリック・ゼムール

$1,483,767 Vol.

1%

icon for セバスチャン・ルコルニュ

セバスチャン・ルコルニュ

$901,522 Vol.

1%

icon for ジャン・カステックス

ジャン・カステックス

$741,810 Vol.

1%

icon for フアン・ブランコ

フアン・ブランコ

$1,376,556 Vol.

1%

icon for ベルナール・カズヌーブ

ベルナール・カズヌーブ

$1,273,302 Vol.

1%

icon for ローラン・ヴォキエ

ローラン・ヴォキエ

$2,100,812 Vol.

1%

icon for ヴァレリー・ペクレス

ヴァレリー・ペクレス

$2,643,307 Vol.

1%

icon for ジェラルド・ダルマナン

ジェラルド・ダルマナン

$756,998 Vol.

1%

icon for クレマンス・ゲッテ

クレマンス・ゲッテ

$2,735,170 Vol.

1%

icon for ファビアン・ルッセル

ファビアン・ルッセル

$2,202,838 Vol.

1%

icon for フランソワ・アスリノー

フランソワ・アスリノー

$3,593,501 Vol.

1%

icon for ニコラ・デュポン＝エニャン

ニコラ・デュポン＝エニャン

$2,853,847 Vol.

1%

icon for フランソワ・リュファン

フランソワ・リュファン

$1,569,558 Vol.

1%

icon for マリーヌ・トンドリエ

マリーヌ・トンドリエ

$2,138,247 Vol.

1%

icon for セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル

セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル

$3,173,294 Vol.

1%

icon for クレマンティーヌ・オータン

クレマンティーヌ・オータン

$3,076,678 Vol.

1%

icon for ヤエル・ブロン＝ピヴェ

ヤエル・ブロン＝ピヴェ

$3,843,926 Vol.

1%

icon for マチルド・パノ

マチルド・パノ

$3,592,377 Vol.

1%

icon for エリザベット・ボルヌ

エリザベット・ボルヌ

$3,376,735 Vol.

1%

icon for カロル・デルガ

カロル・デルガ

$2,715,941 Vol.

1%

icon for マニュエル・ボンパール

マニュエル・ボンパール

$3,084,484 Vol.

1%

icon for グザヴィエ・ベルトラン

グザヴィエ・ベルトラン

$3,303,356 Vol.

1%

icon for オリヴィエ・フォール

オリヴィエ・フォール

$2,540,426 Vol.

1%

icon for ミシェル・バルニエ

ミシェル・バルニエ

$3,414,922 Vol.

1%

icon for フランソワ・バイルー

フランソワ・バイルー

$3,806,548 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The fragmented field for France's 2027 presidential election keeps probabilities tightly clustered, with Jordan Bardella of the National Rally holding a narrow edge in trader consensus over Édouard Philippe of Horizons. Bardella's position stems from his party's consistent first-round polling strength and Marine Le Pen's ongoing legal constraints that limit her viability, while Philippe has gained ground through his recent reelection as mayor of Le Havre and demonstrated appeal in hypothetical runoffs against far-right candidates. A divided left, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon's confirmed candidacy and efforts toward a unified primary among socialists and greens, alongside a weakened center following Emmanuel Macron's term, prevents any single contender from pulling ahead decisively. Scheduled party conventions and potential alliances in the coming months could realign voter blocs and alter the current balance ahead of the April vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$73,140,983
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The fragmented field for France's 2027 presidential election keeps probabilities tightly clustered, with Jordan Bardella of the National Rally holding a narrow edge in trader consensus over Édouard Philippe of Horizons. Bardella's position stems from his party's consistent first-round polling strength and Marine Le Pen's ongoing legal constraints that limit her viability, while Philippe has gained ground through his recent reelection as mayor of Le Havre and demonstrated appeal in hypothetical runoffs against far-right candidates. A divided left, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon's confirmed candidacy and efforts toward a unified primary among socialists and greens, alongside a weakened center following Emmanuel Macron's term, prevents any single contender from pulling ahead decisively. Scheduled party conventions and potential alliances in the coming months could realign voter blocs and alter the current balance ahead of the April vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$73,140,983
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」はPolymarket上の36個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョルダン・バルデラ」で23%、次いで「エドゥアール・フィリップ」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、23¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に23%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次回のフランス大統領選挙」は$73.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」で取引するには、このページに記載されている36個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョルダン・バルデラ」で23%であり、市場がこの結果に23%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「エドゥアール・フィリップ」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。