Zohran Mamdani maintains a steady posting cadence of three to four updates daily on the official @NYCMayor account since taking office in January 2026. This established rhythm, centered on policy announcements, budget briefings, and city service updates, drives the 20-39 outcome to an 85.5% implied probability for the May 15-22 window. Recent activity includes a May 15 Nakba Day commemoration post and ongoing housing and fiscal press events, which align with the typical weekly total without triggering spikes or lulls. No scheduled summits, major crises, or procedural deadlines in the next seven days appear positioned to shift volume outside the core band, reinforcing trader consensus around historical averages for the account.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日20～39 90.8%
20未満 17.3%
40～59 15.7%
120〜139 5.2%
新規
新規
2026/05/22
20未満
17%
20～39
91%
40～59
16%
60～79
4%
80～99
4%
100～119
1%
120〜139
5%
140～159
4%
160〜179
<1%
180〜199
<1%
200以上
1%
20～39 90.8%
20未満 17.3%
40～59 15.7%
120〜139 5.2%
新規
新規
2026/05/22
20未満
$105 Vol.
17%
20～39
$158 Vol.
91%
40～59
$121 Vol.
16%
60～79
$113 Vol.
4%
80～99
$215 Vol.
4%
100～119
$211 Vol.
1%
120〜139
$189 Vol.
5%
140～159
$216 Vol.
4%
160〜179
$337 Vol.
<1%
180〜199
$447 Vol.
<1%
200以上
$789 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani maintains a steady posting cadence of three to four updates daily on the official @NYCMayor account since taking office in January 2026. This established rhythm, centered on policy announcements, budget briefings, and city service updates, drives the 20-39 outcome to an 85.5% implied probability for the May 15-22 window. Recent activity includes a May 15 Nakba Day commemoration post and ongoing housing and fiscal press events, which align with the typical weekly total without triggering spikes or lulls. No scheduled summits, major crises, or procedural deadlines in the next seven days appear positioned to shift volume outside the core band, reinforcing trader consensus around historical averages for the account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$2,900終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani maintains a steady posting cadence of three to four updates daily on the official @NYCMayor account since taking office in January 2026. This established rhythm, centered on policy announcements, budget briefings, and city service updates, drives the 20-39 outcome to an 85.5% implied probability for the May 15-22 window. Recent activity includes a May 15 Nakba Day commemoration post and ongoing housing and fiscal press events, which align with the typical weekly total without triggering spikes or lulls. No scheduled summits, major crises, or procedural deadlines in the next seven days appear positioned to shift volume outside the core band, reinforcing trader consensus around historical averages for the account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$2,900終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Zohran Mamdani maintains a steady posting cadence of three to four updates daily on the official @NYCMayor account since taking office in January 2026. This established rhythm, centered on policy announcements, budget briefings, and city service updates, drives the 20-39 outcome to an 85.5% implied probability for the May 15-22 window. Recent activity includes a May 15 Nakba Day commemoration post and ongoing housing and fiscal press events, which align with the typical weekly total without triggering spikes or lulls. No scheduled summits, major crises, or procedural deadlines in the next seven days appear positioned to shift volume outside the core band, reinforcing trader consensus around historical averages for the account.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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