Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's D+6 partisan voting index and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 6 points. The May 2026 primaries produced straightforward nominees on both sides, with no major shifts in candidate strength or fundraising dynamics emerging since. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's consistent suburban Portland and Willamette Valley voter base. Potential challengers would require an unusually strong Republican national environment or late-cycle developments such as an unexpected scandal or candidate withdrawal to meaningfully alter the trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,363 Vol.
$25,363 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
2%
$25,363 Vol.
$25,363 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$15,280 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,083 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's D+6 partisan voting index and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 6 points. The May 2026 primaries produced straightforward nominees on both sides, with no major shifts in candidate strength or fundraising dynamics emerging since. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's consistent suburban Portland and Willamette Valley voter base. Potential challengers would require an unusually strong Republican national environment or late-cycle developments such as an unexpected scandal or candidate withdrawal to meaningfully alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$25,363終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's D+6 partisan voting index and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 6 points. The May 2026 primaries produced straightforward nominees on both sides, with no major shifts in candidate strength or fundraising dynamics emerging since. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's consistent suburban Portland and Willamette Valley voter base. Potential challengers would require an unusually strong Republican national environment or late-cycle developments such as an unexpected scandal or candidate withdrawal to meaningfully alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,363終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Andrea Salinas holds a commanding position in Oregon's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat's D+6 partisan voting index and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 6 points. The May 2026 primaries produced straightforward nominees on both sides, with no major shifts in candidate strength or fundraising dynamics emerging since. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's consistent suburban Portland and Willamette Valley voter base. Potential challengers would require an unusually strong Republican national environment or late-cycle developments such as an unexpected scandal or candidate withdrawal to meaningfully alter the trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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