The competitive nature of Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district, anchored in the Lehigh Valley, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 76%. Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie won a narrow 2024 victory in a seat with an R+1 partisan voting index, making it one of the more vulnerable GOP holdings heading into the 2026 midterms. Democrat Bob Brooks, a Bethlehem firefighter and Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president who prevailed in the May 2026 primary, emphasizes union ties and working-class credentials in a district with significant labor presence. Recent internal polling showing a modest Democratic edge, combined with the broader midterm environment and Cook Political Report toss-up rating, has reinforced market positioning without major late-breaking shifts as of mid-August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,167 Vol.
$18,167 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
76%
共和党
25%
$18,167 Vol.
$18,167 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$16,476 Vol.
76%
共和党
$1,691 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive nature of Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district, anchored in the Lehigh Valley, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 76%. Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie won a narrow 2024 victory in a seat with an R+1 partisan voting index, making it one of the more vulnerable GOP holdings heading into the 2026 midterms. Democrat Bob Brooks, a Bethlehem firefighter and Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president who prevailed in the May 2026 primary, emphasizes union ties and working-class credentials in a district with significant labor presence. Recent internal polling showing a modest Democratic edge, combined with the broader midterm environment and Cook Political Report toss-up rating, has reinforced market positioning without major late-breaking shifts as of mid-August.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
音量
$18,167終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive nature of Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district, anchored in the Lehigh Valley, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 76%. Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie won a narrow 2024 victory in a seat with an R+1 partisan voting index, making it one of the more vulnerable GOP holdings heading into the 2026 midterms. Democrat Bob Brooks, a Bethlehem firefighter and Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president who prevailed in the May 2026 primary, emphasizes union ties and working-class credentials in a district with significant labor presence. Recent internal polling showing a modest Democratic edge, combined with the broader midterm environment and Cook Political Report toss-up rating, has reinforced market positioning without major late-breaking shifts as of mid-August.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,167終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive nature of Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district, anchored in the Lehigh Valley, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 76%. Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie won a narrow 2024 victory in a seat with an R+1 partisan voting index, making it one of the more vulnerable GOP holdings heading into the 2026 midterms. Democrat Bob Brooks, a Bethlehem firefighter and Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president who prevailed in the May 2026 primary, emphasizes union ties and working-class credentials in a district with significant labor presence. Recent internal polling showing a modest Democratic edge, combined with the broader midterm environment and Cook Political Report toss-up rating, has reinforced market positioning without major late-breaking shifts as of mid-August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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