Democrat Bob Brooks holds a strong edge in the 2026 Pennsylvania 7th congressional district race, with traders assigning his party a 76% implied probability of victory. The seat flipped to Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in the 2024 cycle by a narrow margin, but Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19 primary and leads Mackenzie by four points in a June-July poll of likely voters. National midterm dynamics, including voter sentiment toward the sitting administration and Democratic advantages in fundraising and organization in suburban battlegrounds, reinforce the current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events, turnout patterns, or economic conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,170 Vol.
$18,170 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
76%
共和党
25%
$18,170 Vol.
$18,170 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$16,476 Vol.
76%
共和党
$1,694 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Bob Brooks holds a strong edge in the 2026 Pennsylvania 7th congressional district race, with traders assigning his party a 76% implied probability of victory. The seat flipped to Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in the 2024 cycle by a narrow margin, but Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19 primary and leads Mackenzie by four points in a June-July poll of likely voters. National midterm dynamics, including voter sentiment toward the sitting administration and Democratic advantages in fundraising and organization in suburban battlegrounds, reinforce the current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events, turnout patterns, or economic conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
音量
$18,170終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Bob Brooks holds a strong edge in the 2026 Pennsylvania 7th congressional district race, with traders assigning his party a 76% implied probability of victory. The seat flipped to Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in the 2024 cycle by a narrow margin, but Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19 primary and leads Mackenzie by four points in a June-July poll of likely voters. National midterm dynamics, including voter sentiment toward the sitting administration and Democratic advantages in fundraising and organization in suburban battlegrounds, reinforce the current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events, turnout patterns, or economic conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,170終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat Bob Brooks holds a strong edge in the 2026 Pennsylvania 7th congressional district race, with traders assigning his party a 76% implied probability of victory. The seat flipped to Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in the 2024 cycle by a narrow margin, but Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19 primary and leads Mackenzie by four points in a June-July poll of likely voters. National midterm dynamics, including voter sentiment toward the sitting administration and Democratic advantages in fundraising and organization in suburban battlegrounds, reinforce the current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events, turnout patterns, or economic conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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