The NY-17 contest features Republican incumbent Mike Lawler seeking re-election against Democratic nominee Cait Conley in a Hudson Valley district that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election. Lawler advanced unopposed in the June 23 Republican primary, while Conley prevailed in a crowded Democratic field with nearly 50 percent of the vote. Recent post-primary polling shows a tight race, with results ranging from a narrow Lawler lead to a slim Conley advantage. Traders price the Democratic nominee ahead at 66 percent, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Conley's background as a West Point graduate and national security veteran, and its status as a Democratic target amid broader House battleground dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
66%
共和党
33%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$4,001 Vol.
66%
共和党
$5,591 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-17 contest features Republican incumbent Mike Lawler seeking re-election against Democratic nominee Cait Conley in a Hudson Valley district that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election. Lawler advanced unopposed in the June 23 Republican primary, while Conley prevailed in a crowded Democratic field with nearly 50 percent of the vote. Recent post-primary polling shows a tight race, with results ranging from a narrow Lawler lead to a slim Conley advantage. Traders price the Democratic nominee ahead at 66 percent, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Conley's background as a West Point graduate and national security veteran, and its status as a Democratic target amid broader House battleground dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
音量
$9,592終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-17 contest features Republican incumbent Mike Lawler seeking re-election against Democratic nominee Cait Conley in a Hudson Valley district that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election. Lawler advanced unopposed in the June 23 Republican primary, while Conley prevailed in a crowded Democratic field with nearly 50 percent of the vote. Recent post-primary polling shows a tight race, with results ranging from a narrow Lawler lead to a slim Conley advantage. Traders price the Democratic nominee ahead at 66 percent, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Conley's background as a West Point graduate and national security veteran, and its status as a Democratic target amid broader House battleground dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,592終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-17 contest features Republican incumbent Mike Lawler seeking re-election against Democratic nominee Cait Conley in a Hudson Valley district that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election. Lawler advanced unopposed in the June 23 Republican primary, while Conley prevailed in a crowded Democratic field with nearly 50 percent of the vote. Recent post-primary polling shows a tight race, with results ranging from a narrow Lawler lead to a slim Conley advantage. Traders price the Democratic nominee ahead at 66 percent, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Conley's background as a West Point graduate and national security veteran, and its status as a Democratic target amid broader House battleground dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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