Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 12th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, due to the seat's D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in recent presidential voting. Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga advanced on the other side with limited resources. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district centered in Mecklenburg County where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have produced double-digit margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major national political shift, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$64,306 Vol.
$64,306 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
97%
共和党
1%
$64,306 Vol.
$64,306 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$17,082 Vol.
97%
共和党
$47,224 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 12th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, due to the seat's D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in recent presidential voting. Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga advanced on the other side with limited resources. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district centered in Mecklenburg County where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have produced double-digit margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major national political shift, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$64,306終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 12th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, due to the seat's D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in recent presidential voting. Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga advanced on the other side with limited resources. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district centered in Mecklenburg County where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have produced double-digit margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major national political shift, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$64,306終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 12th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, due to the seat's D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in recent presidential voting. Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga advanced on the other side with limited resources. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district centered in Mecklenburg County where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have produced double-digit margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major national political shift, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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