Recent polling averages place The Democrats—a merger of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan—at 8-11 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, keeping the 8-9 and 10-11 ranges nearly tied in trader pricing. The party has stabilized after its July primary but faces vote fragmentation among opposition blocs, including Yashar under Gadi Eisenkot and Together under Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, which together poll near 35-40 seats. Netanyahu’s coalition continues to fall short of 61 seats in most surveys, yet the left-leaning Democrats remain sensitive to turnout among secular and Arab voters, late alliances, and the 3.25% threshold. Small shifts in undecided respondents or surplus-vote agreements could separate the leading ranges before results are certified in early November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8〜9 40%
12～13 33%
8未満 31%
14以上 30%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
8未満
31%
8〜9
40%
10〜11
40%
12～13
33%
14以上
30%
8〜9 40%
12～13 33%
8未満 31%
14以上 30%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
8未満
$0 Vol.
31%
8〜9
$0 Vol.
40%
10〜11
$10 Vol.
40%
12～13
$0 Vol.
33%
14以上
$40 Vol.
30%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats—a merger of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan—at 8-11 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, keeping the 8-9 and 10-11 ranges nearly tied in trader pricing. The party has stabilized after its July primary but faces vote fragmentation among opposition blocs, including Yashar under Gadi Eisenkot and Together under Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, which together poll near 35-40 seats. Netanyahu’s coalition continues to fall short of 61 seats in most surveys, yet the left-leaning Democrats remain sensitive to turnout among secular and Arab voters, late alliances, and the 3.25% threshold. Small shifts in undecided respondents or surplus-vote agreements could separate the leading ranges before results are certified in early November.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
音量
$50終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats—a merger of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan—at 8-11 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, keeping the 8-9 and 10-11 ranges nearly tied in trader pricing. The party has stabilized after its July primary but faces vote fragmentation among opposition blocs, including Yashar under Gadi Eisenkot and Together under Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, which together poll near 35-40 seats. Netanyahu’s coalition continues to fall short of 61 seats in most surveys, yet the left-leaning Democrats remain sensitive to turnout among secular and Arab voters, late alliances, and the 3.25% threshold. Small shifts in undecided respondents or surplus-vote agreements could separate the leading ranges before results are certified in early November.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$50終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place The Democrats—a merger of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan—at 8-11 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, keeping the 8-9 and 10-11 ranges nearly tied in trader pricing. The party has stabilized after its July primary but faces vote fragmentation among opposition blocs, including Yashar under Gadi Eisenkot and Together under Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, which together poll near 35-40 seats. Netanyahu’s coalition continues to fall short of 61 seats in most surveys, yet the left-leaning Democrats remain sensitive to turnout among secular and Arab voters, late alliances, and the 3.25% threshold. Small shifts in undecided respondents or surplus-vote agreements could separate the leading ranges before results are certified in early November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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