Recent polling trends show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight contest ahead of the October 2026 provincial election, with the PQ holding a consistent edge among francophone voters that shapes its path to a potential majority in the National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, under new leader Christine Fréchette, has posted modest gains in recent surveys but remains well behind in overall support and regional strongholds. Traders' consensus reflects these dynamics, as the PQ's structural advantages in key ridings and historical performance in decisive areas outweigh the Liberals' strength in Montreal and among non-francophone blocs. Upcoming campaign developments and any shifts in voter turnout patterns could still alter the balance before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 Vol.
$505,101 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
59%
PLQ
30%
CAQ
10%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 Vol.
$505,101 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
$52,348 Vol.
59%
PLQ
$56,150 Vol.
30%
CAQ
$59,486 Vol.
10%
PCQ
$164,004 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$114,822 Vol.
<1%
QS
$58,291 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling trends show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight contest ahead of the October 2026 provincial election, with the PQ holding a consistent edge among francophone voters that shapes its path to a potential majority in the National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, under new leader Christine Fréchette, has posted modest gains in recent surveys but remains well behind in overall support and regional strongholds. Traders' consensus reflects these dynamics, as the PQ's structural advantages in key ridings and historical performance in decisive areas outweigh the Liberals' strength in Montreal and among non-francophone blocs. Upcoming campaign developments and any shifts in voter turnout patterns could still alter the balance before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
音量
$505,101終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling trends show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight contest ahead of the October 2026 provincial election, with the PQ holding a consistent edge among francophone voters that shapes its path to a potential majority in the National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, under new leader Christine Fréchette, has posted modest gains in recent surveys but remains well behind in overall support and regional strongholds. Traders' consensus reflects these dynamics, as the PQ's structural advantages in key ridings and historical performance in decisive areas outweigh the Liberals' strength in Montreal and among non-francophone blocs. Upcoming campaign developments and any shifts in voter turnout patterns could still alter the balance before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$505,101終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling trends show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight contest ahead of the October 2026 provincial election, with the PQ holding a consistent edge among francophone voters that shapes its path to a potential majority in the National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, under new leader Christine Fréchette, has posted modest gains in recent surveys but remains well behind in overall support and regional strongholds. Traders' consensus reflects these dynamics, as the PQ's structural advantages in key ridings and historical performance in decisive areas outweigh the Liberals' strength in Montreal and among non-francophone blocs. Upcoming campaign developments and any shifts in voter turnout patterns could still alter the balance before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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