The Parti Québécois holds the strongest position in the market due to consistent leads among Francophone voters in recent surveys, which translate into a projected majority of seats under Quebec’s first-past-the-post system ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. The Quebec Liberal Party trails closely in popular vote shares around 28-32 percent but remains competitive through stronger support in Montreal and among non-Francophones. The governing Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modest ground following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette but continues to poll in the mid-teens amid voter fatigue after more than a decade in power. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire show limited movement and remain marginal in seat projections. These patterns reflect stable voter alignments with roughly five months remaining until ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 Vol.
$505,101 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
59%
PLQ
30%
CAQ
10%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 Vol.
$505,101 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
$52,348 Vol.
59%
PLQ
$56,150 Vol.
30%
CAQ
$59,486 Vol.
10%
PCQ
$164,004 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$114,822 Vol.
<1%
QS
$58,291 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds the strongest position in the market due to consistent leads among Francophone voters in recent surveys, which translate into a projected majority of seats under Quebec’s first-past-the-post system ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. The Quebec Liberal Party trails closely in popular vote shares around 28-32 percent but remains competitive through stronger support in Montreal and among non-Francophones. The governing Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modest ground following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette but continues to poll in the mid-teens amid voter fatigue after more than a decade in power. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire show limited movement and remain marginal in seat projections. These patterns reflect stable voter alignments with roughly five months remaining until ballots are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
音量
$505,101終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds the strongest position in the market due to consistent leads among Francophone voters in recent surveys, which translate into a projected majority of seats under Quebec’s first-past-the-post system ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. The Quebec Liberal Party trails closely in popular vote shares around 28-32 percent but remains competitive through stronger support in Montreal and among non-Francophones. The governing Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modest ground following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette but continues to poll in the mid-teens amid voter fatigue after more than a decade in power. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire show limited movement and remain marginal in seat projections. These patterns reflect stable voter alignments with roughly five months remaining until ballots are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$505,101終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois holds the strongest position in the market due to consistent leads among Francophone voters in recent surveys, which translate into a projected majority of seats under Quebec’s first-past-the-post system ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. The Quebec Liberal Party trails closely in popular vote shares around 28-32 percent but remains competitive through stronger support in Montreal and among non-Francophones. The governing Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modest ground following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette but continues to poll in the mid-teens amid voter fatigue after more than a decade in power. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire show limited movement and remain marginal in seat projections. These patterns reflect stable voter alignments with roughly five months remaining until ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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