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icon for サウスカロライナ州上院特別共和党予備選挙:第1ラウンド2位

サウスカロライナ州上院特別共和党予備選挙:第1ラウンド2位

icon for サウスカロライナ州上院特別共和党予備選挙:第1ラウンド2位

サウスカロライナ州上院特別共和党予備選挙:第1ラウンド2位

ラルフ・ノーマン 100.0%

ダーリン・グレアム・ノードーン <1%

ラッセル・フライ <1%

マーク・リンチ <1%

Polymarket

$92,487 Vol.

ラルフ・ノーマン 100.0%

ダーリン・グレアム・ノードーン <1%

ラッセル・フライ <1%

マーク・リンチ <1%

Polymarket

$92,487 Vol.

icon for ラルフ・ノーマン

ラルフ・ノーマン

$53,721 Vol.

100%

icon for ダーリン・グレアム・ノードーン

ダーリン・グレアム・ノードーン

$11,902 Vol.

<1%

icon for ラッセル・フライ

ラッセル・フライ

$14,852 Vol.

<1%

icon for マーク・リンチ

マーク・リンチ

$5,228 Vol.

<1%

icon for マーク・サンフォード

マーク・サンフォード

$2,690 Vol.

<1%

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Ralph Norman secured a strong second-place finish in South Carolina’s August 11 special Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat, behind appointed Sen. Darline Graham, as vote tallies showed him ahead of Rep. Russell Fry and other contenders including former Gov. Mark Sanford. His positioning stems from established name recognition across Upstate congressional districts, consistent conservative messaging on fiscal issues, and vote fragmentation among the crowded field of ten candidates that prevented any single rival from consolidating enough support. Trader consensus reflects these primary results, with Norman at near-certainty for second place. Late certification adjustments or recount challenges remain theoretically possible but face high procedural barriers given the projected margins and rapid counting.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$92,487
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Ralph Norman secured a strong second-place finish in South Carolina’s August 11 special Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat, behind appointed Sen. Darline Graham, as vote tallies showed him ahead of Rep. Russell Fry and other contenders including former Gov. Mark Sanford. His positioning stems from established name recognition across Upstate congressional districts, consistent conservative messaging on fiscal issues, and vote fragmentation among the crowded field of ten candidates that prevented any single rival from consolidating enough support. Trader consensus reflects these primary results, with Norman at near-certainty for second place. Late certification adjustments or recount challenges remain theoretically possible but face high procedural barriers given the projected margins and rapid counting.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$92,487
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「サウスカロライナ州上院特別共和党予備選挙:第1ラウンド2位」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ラルフ・ノーマン」で100%、次いで「ダーリン・グレアム・ノードーン」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「サウスカロライナ州上院特別共和党予備選挙:第1ラウンド2位」は$92.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「サウスカロライナ州上院特別共和党予備選挙:第1ラウンド2位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「サウスカロライナ州上院特別共和党予備選挙:第1ラウンド2位」の現在のフロントランナーは「ラルフ・ノーマン」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ダーリン・グレアム・ノードーン」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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