The Republican Party's strong hold on Tennessee's 1st Congressional District, with its consistent R+24 partisan lean and over a century of GOP control, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger, who secured 78% in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and benefits from President Trump's endorsement. The Tennessee legislature's May 2026 mid-decade redistricting, signed into law on May 7, further solidifies safe seats like TN-01 by cracking Democratic-leaning areas elsewhere and reopening candidate filing through May 15. Democratic primary contenders including Kristi Burke face steep structural barriers in the solidly Republican northeastern Tennessee district. A major scandal, health setback for the incumbent, or successful court challenge to the new map could still shift the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,492 Vol.
$12,492 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
6%
$12,492 Vol.
$12,492 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,072 Vol.
93%
民主党
$4,420 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's strong hold on Tennessee's 1st Congressional District, with its consistent R+24 partisan lean and over a century of GOP control, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger, who secured 78% in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and benefits from President Trump's endorsement. The Tennessee legislature's May 2026 mid-decade redistricting, signed into law on May 7, further solidifies safe seats like TN-01 by cracking Democratic-leaning areas elsewhere and reopening candidate filing through May 15. Democratic primary contenders including Kristi Burke face steep structural barriers in the solidly Republican northeastern Tennessee district. A major scandal, health setback for the incumbent, or successful court challenge to the new map could still shift the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$12,492終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's strong hold on Tennessee's 1st Congressional District, with its consistent R+24 partisan lean and over a century of GOP control, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger, who secured 78% in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and benefits from President Trump's endorsement. The Tennessee legislature's May 2026 mid-decade redistricting, signed into law on May 7, further solidifies safe seats like TN-01 by cracking Democratic-leaning areas elsewhere and reopening candidate filing through May 15. Democratic primary contenders including Kristi Burke face steep structural barriers in the solidly Republican northeastern Tennessee district. A major scandal, health setback for the incumbent, or successful court challenge to the new map could still shift the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,492終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party's strong hold on Tennessee's 1st Congressional District, with its consistent R+24 partisan lean and over a century of GOP control, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger, who secured 78% in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and benefits from President Trump's endorsement. The Tennessee legislature's May 2026 mid-decade redistricting, signed into law on May 7, further solidifies safe seats like TN-01 by cracking Democratic-leaning areas elsewhere and reopening candidate filing through May 15. Democratic primary contenders including Kristi Burke face steep structural barriers in the solidly Republican northeastern Tennessee district. A major scandal, health setback for the incumbent, or successful court challenge to the new map could still shift the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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