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icon for トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?

トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?

icon for トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?

トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?

8月 31

8月 31

新規
2026/07/17
Polymarket

$200 Vol.

Polymarket

7月17日

$0 Vol.

9%

7月31日

$67 Vol.

17%

8月15日

$11 Vol.

56%

8月31日

$122 Vol.

58%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s February 2026 directive established the PURSUE initiative, directing federal agencies including the Department of War and ODNI to review and release UAP-related records on a rolling basis. Multiple tranches have already been published since the first release on May 8, 2026, with the fourth batch of 40 files—including 19 videos—issued on July 10. These disclosures cover historical sightings, military sensor data, and agency reports but have not included evidence of extraterrestrial activity. Additional tranches are scheduled at regular intervals, creating sustained momentum for near-term declassifications while the scope of review across decades of records continues to shape the pace and volume of future releases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$200
終了日
2026/08/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s February 2026 directive established the PURSUE initiative, directing federal agencies including the Department of War and ODNI to review and release UAP-related records on a rolling basis. Multiple tranches have already been published since the first release on May 8, 2026, with the fourth batch of 40 files—including 19 videos—issued on July 10. These disclosures cover historical sightings, military sensor data, and agency reports but have not included evidence of extraterrestrial activity. Additional tranches are scheduled at regular intervals, creating sustained momentum for near-term declassifications while the scope of review across decades of records continues to shape the pace and volume of future releases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$200
終了日
2026/08/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「8月15日」で73%、次いで「8月31日」が66%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、73¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に73%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 10, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「8月15日」で73%であり、市場がこの結果に73%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「8月31日」で66%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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