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icon for トランプ氏は今月、元のエアフォース1で再び飛ぶのだろうか？
政治·トランプ

トランプ氏は今月、元のエアフォース1で再び飛ぶのだろうか？

icon for トランプ氏は今月、元のエアフォース1で再び飛ぶのだろうか？
政治·トランプ

トランプ氏は今月、元のエアフォース1で再び飛ぶのだろうか？

はい

51% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

51% 確率
Polymarket
新規
On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump’s recent use of the older VC-25 Air Force One on July 8, 2026, from Turkey to the UK was driven by Secret Service security precautions amid renewed U.S.-Iran tensions and threats against the president.** He arrived in Ankara on the newer Qatari-gifted plane but switched for the return leg, later reboarding the updated aircraft in Britain. Trader consensus at 50% reflects uncertainty over whether additional travel will occur in the remaining weeks of July, the status of ongoing security assessments tied to Iran, and operational or maintenance factors affecting both aircraft. Any escalation or de-escalation in Middle East tensions, or presidential trips scheduled before month-end, could shift probabilities either way. Historical patterns show presidents sometimes favor legacy planes for shorter or lower-risk segments, but no fixed schedule governs July usage.

On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump’s recent use of the older VC-25 Air Force One on July 8, 2026, from Turkey to the UK was driven by Secret Service security precautions amid renewed U.S.-Iran tensions and threats against the president.** He arrived in Ankara on the newer Qatari-gifted plane but switched for the return leg, later reboarding the updated aircraft in Britain. Trader consensus at 50% reflects uncertainty over whether additional travel will occur in the remaining weeks of July, the status of ongoing security assessments tied to Iran, and operational or maintenance factors affecting both aircraft. Any escalation or de-escalation in Middle East tensions, or presidential trips scheduled before month-end, could shift probabilities either way. Historical patterns show presidents sometimes favor legacy planes for shorter or lower-risk segments, but no fixed schedule governs July usage.

On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「トランプ氏は今月、元のエアフォース1で再び飛ぶのだろうか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプは今月再び元のエアフォースワンに搭乗しますか？」で51%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、51¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に51%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ氏は今月、元のエアフォース1で再び飛ぶのだろうか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jul 9, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプ氏は今月、元のエアフォース1で再び飛ぶのだろうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ氏は今月、元のエアフォース1で再び飛ぶのだろうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「トランプは今月再び元のエアフォースワンに搭乗しますか？」で51%であり、市場がこの結果に51%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ氏は今月、元のエアフォース1で再び飛ぶのだろうか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。