Trump's public statements referencing Allah, including a notable April 2026 Easter post and at least one subsequent instance before late June, have established a recent precedent that keeps the July 31 window competitive at roughly even odds. With just three weeks remaining, the tight balance reflects the combination of Trump's high-volume social media activity and foreign policy commentary—often tied to Middle East developments—with the low base rate of this exact phrasing absent new catalysts. Traders weigh the possibility of diplomatic escalations or routine posts against the absence of immediate triggers in early July, where communications have centered on domestic and trade matters. Scheduled events or sudden geopolitical shifts could alter probabilities either direction before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/07/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/07/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trump's public statements referencing Allah, including a notable April 2026 Easter post and at least one subsequent instance before late June, have established a recent precedent that keeps the July 31 window competitive at roughly even odds. With just three weeks remaining, the tight balance reflects the combination of Trump's high-volume social media activity and foreign policy commentary—often tied to Middle East developments—with the low base rate of this exact phrasing absent new catalysts. Traders weigh the possibility of diplomatic escalations or routine posts against the absence of immediate triggers in early July, where communications have centered on domestic and trade matters. Scheduled events or sudden geopolitical shifts could alter probabilities either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
マーケット開始日： Jul 9, 2026, 9:26 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trump's public statements referencing Allah, including a notable April 2026 Easter post and at least one subsequent instance before late June, have established a recent precedent that keeps the July 31 window competitive at roughly even odds. With just three weeks remaining, the tight balance reflects the combination of Trump's high-volume social media activity and foreign policy commentary—often tied to Middle East developments—with the low base rate of this exact phrasing absent new catalysts. Traders weigh the possibility of diplomatic escalations or routine posts against the absence of immediate triggers in early July, where communications have centered on domestic and trade matters. Scheduled events or sudden geopolitical shifts could alter probabilities either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
音量
$0終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's public statements referencing Allah, including a notable April 2026 Easter post and at least one subsequent instance before late June, have established a recent precedent that keeps the July 31 window competitive at roughly even odds. With just three weeks remaining, the tight balance reflects the combination of Trump's high-volume social media activity and foreign policy commentary—often tied to Middle East developments—with the low base rate of this exact phrasing absent new catalysts. Traders weigh the possibility of diplomatic escalations or routine posts against the absence of immediate triggers in early July, where communications have centered on domestic and trade matters. Scheduled events or sudden geopolitical shifts could alter probabilities either direction before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問