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Trump goes to space in 2026?

icon for Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

2% 確率
Polymarket
新規
2% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trump's advanced age of 79, the rigorous physical and medical requirements for astronaut training, and the absence of any announced plans from NASA, SpaceX, or his administration have solidified trader consensus at 98% against him undertaking spaceflight in 2026, where the U.S. threshold is 50 miles above sea level. As president, Secret Service protocols, national security constraints, and a demanding schedule further preclude participation in crewed missions like Artemis or private orbital/suborbital flights. Recent highlights include his April 29 White House meeting with the Artemis II lunar flyby crew, where he joked about his fitness but signaled no personal intent. Only an improbable late-year surprise announcement and expedited training could shift odds, amid NASA's focus on professional astronauts for 2028 moon goals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$3,700
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trump's advanced age of 79, the rigorous physical and medical requirements for astronaut training, and the absence of any announced plans from NASA, SpaceX, or his administration have solidified trader consensus at 98% against him undertaking spaceflight in 2026, where the U.S. threshold is 50 miles above sea level. As president, Secret Service protocols, national security constraints, and a demanding schedule further preclude participation in crewed missions like Artemis or private orbital/suborbital flights. Recent highlights include his April 29 White House meeting with the Artemis II lunar flyby crew, where he joked about his fitness but signaled no personal intent. Only an improbable late-year surprise announcement and expedited training could shift odds, amid NASA's focus on professional astronauts for 2028 moon goals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$3,700
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「Trump goes to space in 2026?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して2%です。例えば、「はい」が2¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を2%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

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「Trump goes to space in 2026?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して2%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を2%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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