Trump's advanced age of 79, the rigorous physical and medical requirements for astronaut training, and the absence of any announced plans from NASA, SpaceX, or his administration have solidified trader consensus at 98% against him undertaking spaceflight in 2026, where the U.S. threshold is 50 miles above sea level. As president, Secret Service protocols, national security constraints, and a demanding schedule further preclude participation in crewed missions like Artemis or private orbital/suborbital flights. Recent highlights include his April 29 White House meeting with the Artemis II lunar flyby crew, where he joked about his fitness but signaled no personal intent. Only an improbable late-year surprise announcement and expedited training could shift odds, amid NASA's focus on professional astronauts for 2028 moon goals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's advanced age of 79, the rigorous physical and medical requirements for astronaut training, and the absence of any announced plans from NASA, SpaceX, or his administration have solidified trader consensus at 98% against him undertaking spaceflight in 2026, where the U.S. threshold is 50 miles above sea level. As president, Secret Service protocols, national security constraints, and a demanding schedule further preclude participation in crewed missions like Artemis or private orbital/suborbital flights. Recent highlights include his April 29 White House meeting with the Artemis II lunar flyby crew, where he joked about his fitness but signaled no personal intent. Only an improbable late-year surprise announcement and expedited training could shift odds, amid NASA's focus on professional astronauts for 2028 moon goals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問