The overwhelming trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active congressional impeachment proceedings, Senate conviction votes, or invocation of the 25th Amendment in the current term. With Republicans controlling both chambers, the procedural barriers to removal remain exceptionally high, consistent with historical patterns where presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary events. No scheduled legislative actions, cabinet transitions, or official announcements have altered this outlook in recent weeks. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting bipartisan support for resignation, or unforeseen legal rulings could theoretically shift probabilities, though these remain remote given the short timeline and institutional safeguards.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,613,075 Vol.
$1,613,075 Vol.
2026/05/31
$1,613,075 Vol.
$1,613,075 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The overwhelming trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active congressional impeachment proceedings, Senate conviction votes, or invocation of the 25th Amendment in the current term. With Republicans controlling both chambers, the procedural barriers to removal remain exceptionally high, consistent with historical patterns where presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary events. No scheduled legislative actions, cabinet transitions, or official announcements have altered this outlook in recent weeks. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting bipartisan support for resignation, or unforeseen legal rulings could theoretically shift probabilities, though these remain remote given the short timeline and institutional safeguards.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
音量
$1,613,075終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The overwhelming trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active congressional impeachment proceedings, Senate conviction votes, or invocation of the 25th Amendment in the current term. With Republicans controlling both chambers, the procedural barriers to removal remain exceptionally high, consistent with historical patterns where presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary events. No scheduled legislative actions, cabinet transitions, or official announcements have altered this outlook in recent weeks. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting bipartisan support for resignation, or unforeseen legal rulings could theoretically shift probabilities, though these remain remote given the short timeline and institutional safeguards.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,613,075終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The overwhelming trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the absence of any active congressional impeachment proceedings, Senate conviction votes, or invocation of the 25th Amendment in the current term. With Republicans controlling both chambers, the procedural barriers to removal remain exceptionally high, consistent with historical patterns where presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary events. No scheduled legislative actions, cabinet transitions, or official announcements have altered this outlook in recent weeks. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting bipartisan support for resignation, or unforeseen legal rulings could theoretically shift probabilities, though these remain remote given the short timeline and institutional safeguards.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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