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icon for Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

icon for Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

7% 確率
Polymarket
新規
7% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Tucker Carlson has shown no signs of launching a candidacy for any federal or state office ahead of the June 30 deadline, with recent public statements instead framing longer-term interest in the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. In March interviews he explicitly dismissed running in the near term, while April and May commentary from analysts highlights his media platform and positioning against potential 2028 rivals like JD Vance or Marco Rubio rather than any active campaign infrastructure or filings. Traders interpret the lack of exploratory committees, donor outreach, or ballot access moves as confirmation that an announcement remains unlikely before the cutoff, consistent with Carlson’s ongoing focus on independent broadcasting and commentary on issues such as foreign policy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$742
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Tucker Carlson has shown no signs of launching a candidacy for any federal or state office ahead of the June 30 deadline, with recent public statements instead framing longer-term interest in the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. In March interviews he explicitly dismissed running in the near term, while April and May commentary from analysts highlights his media platform and positioning against potential 2028 rivals like JD Vance or Marco Rubio rather than any active campaign infrastructure or filings. Traders interpret the lack of exploratory committees, donor outreach, or ballot access moves as confirmation that an announcement remains unlikely before the cutoff, consistent with Carlson’s ongoing focus on independent broadcasting and commentary on issues such as foreign policy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$742
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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よくある質問

「Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して7%です。例えば、「はい」が7¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を7%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 8, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して7%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を7%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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