The U.S. Embassy in Beirut reduced its footprint in February 2026 by ordering the departure of non-essential personnel and eligible family members amid rising Iran-related tensions and military buildup in the region. Partial staffing restrictions have persisted through security alerts and a Level 4 travel advisory, reflecting ongoing risks from regional conflict, including Israeli operations in Lebanon and potential spillover from Iran hostilities that began late February. As of late August 2026, the State Department is preparing to restore diplomats to Beirut first among Middle East posts, with initial staffing capped at 85 percent and family restrictions continuing, signaling reduced expectations of immediate escalation. Continued low-level fighting in southern Lebanon and diplomatic efforts to manage Iran tensions remain key variables that could alter embassy posture before any resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$118,056 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
5%
$118,056 Vol.
12月31日
$23,954 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut reduced its footprint in February 2026 by ordering the departure of non-essential personnel and eligible family members amid rising Iran-related tensions and military buildup in the region. Partial staffing restrictions have persisted through security alerts and a Level 4 travel advisory, reflecting ongoing risks from regional conflict, including Israeli operations in Lebanon and potential spillover from Iran hostilities that began late February. As of late August 2026, the State Department is preparing to restore diplomats to Beirut first among Middle East posts, with initial staffing capped at 85 percent and family restrictions continuing, signaling reduced expectations of immediate escalation. Continued low-level fighting in southern Lebanon and diplomatic efforts to manage Iran tensions remain key variables that could alter embassy posture before any resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
音量
$118,056終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut reduced its footprint in February 2026 by ordering the departure of non-essential personnel and eligible family members amid rising Iran-related tensions and military buildup in the region. Partial staffing restrictions have persisted through security alerts and a Level 4 travel advisory, reflecting ongoing risks from regional conflict, including Israeli operations in Lebanon and potential spillover from Iran hostilities that began late February. As of late August 2026, the State Department is preparing to restore diplomats to Beirut first among Middle East posts, with initial staffing capped at 85 percent and family restrictions continuing, signaling reduced expectations of immediate escalation. Continued low-level fighting in southern Lebanon and diplomatic efforts to manage Iran tensions remain key variables that could alter embassy posture before any resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
音量
$118,056終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut reduced its footprint in February 2026 by ordering the departure of non-essential personnel and eligible family members amid rising Iran-related tensions and military buildup in the region. Partial staffing restrictions have persisted through security alerts and a Level 4 travel advisory, reflecting ongoing risks from regional conflict, including Israeli operations in Lebanon and potential spillover from Iran hostilities that began late February. As of late August 2026, the State Department is preparing to restore diplomats to Beirut first among Middle East posts, with initial staffing capped at 85 percent and family restrictions continuing, signaling reduced expectations of immediate escalation. Continued low-level fighting in southern Lebanon and diplomatic efforts to manage Iran tensions remain key variables that could alter embassy posture before any resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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