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icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

73% 確率
Polymarket
新規
73% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. State Department announcement on April 28 of limited-edition "America250" passports featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on interior pages has driven the 73% yes probability, as traders anticipate issuance this summer to commemorate the U.S. semiquincentennial on July 4. The redesign overlays Trump's image on Declaration of Independence text, marking a first for a sitting president in modern history, with no reported delays or opposition since the reveal. Official commitment and production timelines for the restricted release bolster trader consensus, though final rollout hinges on administrative execution before the July 31 deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
音量
$8,326
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. State Department announcement on April 28 of limited-edition "America250" passports featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on interior pages has driven the 73% yes probability, as traders anticipate issuance this summer to commemorate the U.S. semiquincentennial on July 4. The redesign overlays Trump's image on Declaration of Independence text, marking a first for a sitting president in modern history, with no reported delays or opposition since the reveal. Official commitment and production timelines for the restricted release bolster trader consensus, though final rollout hinges on administrative execution before the July 31 deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
音量
$8,326
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.

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よくある質問

「U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して73%です。例えば、「はい」が73¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を73%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 28, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して73%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を73%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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