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icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

94% 確率
Polymarket

$14,450 Vol.

94% 確率
Polymarket

$14,450 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. **The U.S. State Department announced in late April 2026 plans for a limited-edition passport redesign featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on an interior page, tied to the nation's 250th anniversary commemorations in July.** The design places the image over Declaration of Independence text, with issuance slated to begin this summer via the Washington Passport Agency as the default for in-person renewals there. This official action by the agency responsible for passport production and distribution directly supports the current trader consensus around a 78% implied probability of issuance by July 31, 2026. No subsequent procedural delays, funding issues, or successful legal challenges have emerged in the intervening weeks to alter the timeline. While some lawmakers have voiced opposition and called for halting the project, the administration has proceeded with the approved mockups and rollout schedule. The outcome hinges on whether the first batches reach applicants before the market's cutoff, consistent with standard federal agency execution of commemorative designs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
音量
$14,450
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. **The U.S. State Department announced in late April 2026 plans for a limited-edition passport redesign featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on an interior page, tied to the nation's 250th anniversary commemorations in July.** The design places the image over Declaration of Independence text, with issuance slated to begin this summer via the Washington Passport Agency as the default for in-person renewals there. This official action by the agency responsible for passport production and distribution directly supports the current trader consensus around a 78% implied probability of issuance by July 31, 2026. No subsequent procedural delays, funding issues, or successful legal challenges have emerged in the intervening weeks to alter the timeline. While some lawmakers have voiced opposition and called for halting the project, the administration has proceeded with the approved mockups and rollout schedule. The outcome hinges on whether the first batches reach applicants before the market's cutoff, consistent with standard federal agency execution of commemorative designs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
音量
$14,450
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.

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よくある質問

「U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して94%です。例えば、「はい」が94¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を94%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?」は$14.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して94%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を94%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。