SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and recent reports targeting a $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion IPO valuation in June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment, with the 1.75-2.00T outcome holding a 60.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects expectations of robust Starlink subscriber growth and Starship flight-rate ambitions supporting revenue expansion from the prior $800 billion private valuation, though elevated price-to-sales multiples above 100x on estimated 2025 figures introduce valuation risk. Secondary bids on the 2.00-2.25T tranche at 24% capture optimism around potential AI data-center initiatives, while the 1.50-1.75T range at 21.2% accounts for possible market-condition adjustments or regulatory scrutiny ahead of the roadshow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.75～2.00兆 61%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 7.7%
2.50兆ドル以上 5.5%
1.50～1.75兆 5.0%
$133,671 Vol.
$133,671 Vol.
1.25兆未満
1%
1.25〜1.50兆
4%
1.50～1.75兆
21%
1.75～2.00兆
59%
2.00〜2.25兆
17%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
8%
2.50兆ドル以上
5%
1.75～2.00兆 61%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 7.7%
2.50兆ドル以上 5.5%
1.50～1.75兆 5.0%
$133,671 Vol.
$133,671 Vol.
1.25兆未満
$60,323 Vol.
1%
1.25〜1.50兆
$16,039 Vol.
4%
1.50～1.75兆
$9,240 Vol.
21%
1.75～2.00兆
$12,949 Vol.
59%
2.00〜2.25兆
$14,286 Vol.
17%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
$10,055 Vol.
8%
2.50兆ドル以上
$10,779 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and recent reports targeting a $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion IPO valuation in June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment, with the 1.75-2.00T outcome holding a 60.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects expectations of robust Starlink subscriber growth and Starship flight-rate ambitions supporting revenue expansion from the prior $800 billion private valuation, though elevated price-to-sales multiples above 100x on estimated 2025 figures introduce valuation risk. Secondary bids on the 2.00-2.25T tranche at 24% capture optimism around potential AI data-center initiatives, while the 1.50-1.75T range at 21.2% accounts for possible market-condition adjustments or regulatory scrutiny ahead of the roadshow.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$133,671マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and recent reports targeting a $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion IPO valuation in June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment, with the 1.75-2.00T outcome holding a 60.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects expectations of robust Starlink subscriber growth and Starship flight-rate ambitions supporting revenue expansion from the prior $800 billion private valuation, though elevated price-to-sales multiples above 100x on estimated 2025 figures introduce valuation risk. Secondary bids on the 2.00-2.25T tranche at 24% capture optimism around potential AI data-center initiatives, while the 1.50-1.75T range at 21.2% accounts for possible market-condition adjustments or regulatory scrutiny ahead of the roadshow.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$133,671マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and recent reports targeting a $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion IPO valuation in June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment, with the 1.75-2.00T outcome holding a 60.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects expectations of robust Starlink subscriber growth and Starship flight-rate ambitions supporting revenue expansion from the prior $800 billion private valuation, though elevated price-to-sales multiples above 100x on estimated 2025 figures introduce valuation risk. Secondary bids on the 2.00-2.25T tranche at 24% capture optimism around potential AI data-center initiatives, while the 1.50-1.75T range at 21.2% accounts for possible market-condition adjustments or regulatory scrutiny ahead of the roadshow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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