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What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?

559 - 566k 42%

553 - 559k 31%

566 - 572k 24%

572 - 579k 10%

Polymarket
新規

559 - 566k 42%

553 - 559k 31%

566 - 572k 24%

572 - 579k 10%

Polymarket
新規

<553k

$0 Vol.

7%

553 - 559k

$96 Vol.

25%

559 - 566k

$95 Vol.

43%

566 - 572k

$1,002 Vol.

21%

572 - 579k

$0 Vol.

10%

579 - 585k

$0 Vol.

7%

585 - 598k

$6 Vol.

7%

>598k

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36) Recent increases in active listings across the DC Metro area, driven by federal workforce uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward momentum and positioned the 559-566k range as the leading market-implied outcome with 43% probability. April 2026 data showed median sale prices near 661k alongside modest year-over-year gains, while Zillow’s Home Value Index hovered around 580k in late April, reflecting softening buyer demand amid rising supply. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, assigns 22.5% and 21.5% to the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k bands, underscoring a tight contest ahead of the May 31 resolution. Key near-term catalysts include mortgage rate trends and fresh labor market signals that could further shape sentiment in this closely balanced window.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
音量
$1,199
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36) Recent increases in active listings across the DC Metro area, driven by federal workforce uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward momentum and positioned the 559-566k range as the leading market-implied outcome with 43% probability. April 2026 data showed median sale prices near 661k alongside modest year-over-year gains, while Zillow’s Home Value Index hovered around 580k in late April, reflecting softening buyer demand amid rising supply. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, assigns 22.5% and 21.5% to the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k bands, underscoring a tight contest ahead of the May 31 resolution. Key near-term catalysts include mortgage rate trends and fresh labor market signals that could further shape sentiment in this closely balanced window.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
音量
$1,199
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)

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よくある質問

「What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「559 - 566k」で43%、次いで「553 - 559k」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、43¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に43%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 4, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?」の現在のフロントランナーは「559 - 566k」で43%であり、市場がこの結果に43%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「553 - 559k」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。