The Trump administration has accelerated direct equity investments in private companies as part of an industrial policy emphasizing national security and supply-chain resilience in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense manufacturing. Since January 2025, federal agencies including the Departments of Commerce and Defense have completed at least sixteen deals totaling over $20 billion, converting prior grants or loans into ownership stakes or warrants in firms such as Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, USA Rare Earth, and Trilogy Metals. These transactions often include purchase commitments or governance rights to secure domestic production capacity. Traders are monitoring legislative efforts to expand the Defense Production Act and upcoming agency announcements that could target additional chipmakers, rare-earth processors, or AI infrastructure providers before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$83,024 Vol.
2026/12/31
Anduril
32%
ボーイング
24%
TSMC
15%
OpenAI
13%
パランティア
17%
エヌビディア
11%
グローバルファウンドリーズ
22%
ロッキード・マーチン
20%
TikTok US / Bytedance
16%
フリーポート・マクモラン
19%
IonQ
20%
マイクロン
19%
D-Wave
22%
Anthropic
18%
Rigetti
29%
イーライリリー
28%
ファイザー
29%
サムスン電子
20%
$83,024 Vol.
Anduril
$39,524 Vol.
32%
ボーイング
$845 Vol.
24%
TSMC
$411 Vol.
15%
OpenAI
$1,150 Vol.
13%
パランティア
$439 Vol.
17%
エヌビディア
$8,835 Vol.
11%
グローバルファウンドリーズ
$896 Vol.
22%
ロッキード・マーチン
$647 Vol.
20%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$371 Vol.
16%
フリーポート・マクモラン
$616 Vol.
19%
IonQ
$194 Vol.
20%
マイクロン
$1,032 Vol.
19%
D-Wave
$499 Vol.
22%
Anthropic
$899 Vol.
18%
Rigetti
$19,055 Vol.
29%
イーライリリー
$192 Vol.
28%
ファイザー
$192 Vol.
29%
サムスン電子
$7,226 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has accelerated direct equity investments in private companies as part of an industrial policy emphasizing national security and supply-chain resilience in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense manufacturing. Since January 2025, federal agencies including the Departments of Commerce and Defense have completed at least sixteen deals totaling over $20 billion, converting prior grants or loans into ownership stakes or warrants in firms such as Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, USA Rare Earth, and Trilogy Metals. These transactions often include purchase commitments or governance rights to secure domestic production capacity. Traders are monitoring legislative efforts to expand the Defense Production Act and upcoming agency announcements that could target additional chipmakers, rare-earth processors, or AI infrastructure providers before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
音量
$83,024終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has accelerated direct equity investments in private companies as part of an industrial policy emphasizing national security and supply-chain resilience in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense manufacturing. Since January 2025, federal agencies including the Departments of Commerce and Defense have completed at least sixteen deals totaling over $20 billion, converting prior grants or loans into ownership stakes or warrants in firms such as Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, USA Rare Earth, and Trilogy Metals. These transactions often include purchase commitments or governance rights to secure domestic production capacity. Traders are monitoring legislative efforts to expand the Defense Production Act and upcoming agency announcements that could target additional chipmakers, rare-earth processors, or AI infrastructure providers before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$83,024終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has accelerated direct equity investments in private companies as part of an industrial policy emphasizing national security and supply-chain resilience in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense manufacturing. Since January 2025, federal agencies including the Departments of Commerce and Defense have completed at least sixteen deals totaling over $20 billion, converting prior grants or loans into ownership stakes or warrants in firms such as Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, USA Rare Earth, and Trilogy Metals. These transactions often include purchase commitments or governance rights to secure domestic production capacity. Traders are monitoring legislative efforts to expand the Defense Production Act and upcoming agency announcements that could target additional chipmakers, rare-earth processors, or AI infrastructure providers before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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