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icon for 2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？
地政学·トランプ

2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？

icon for 2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？
地政学·トランプ

2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？

12月 31

12月 31

$268,681 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$268,681 Vol.

Polymarket

韓国

$55,095 Vol.

28%

カナダ

$2,417 Vol.

25%

インド

$38,411 Vol.

25%

ロシア

$1,979 Vol.

16%

ブラジル

$3,158 Vol.

19%

イギリス

$419 Vol.

25%

イスラエル

$343 Vol.

17%

南アフリカ

$354 Vol.

17%

インドネシア

$18,708 Vol.

15%

ベトナム

$5,155 Vol.

14%

アルゼンチン

$19,939 Vol.

14%

メキシコ

$1,850 Vol.

14%

日本

$5,093 Vol.

13%

パキスタン

$71,400 Vol.

13%

台湾

$31,675 Vol.

10%

欧州連合

$7,470 Vol.

8%

オーストラリア

$5,214 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second-term trade policy has centered on the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade program, launched after April 2025 reciprocal tariff announcements that triggered bilateral framework negotiations with major partners. By early 2026, the administration had signed or implemented deals with the United Kingdom, Japan, Indonesia, India, Argentina, El Salvador, Ecuador, and Guatemala, often reducing baseline tariffs in exchange for market access and supply-chain commitments. The March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes converting additional frameworks—such as those with the European Union, South Korea, Switzerland, and Vietnam—into full agreements while pursuing enforcement and critical minerals deals. Ongoing talks and scheduled diplomatic engagements through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts that could determine further outcomes before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$268,681
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second-term trade policy has centered on the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade program, launched after April 2025 reciprocal tariff announcements that triggered bilateral framework negotiations with major partners. By early 2026, the administration had signed or implemented deals with the United Kingdom, Japan, Indonesia, India, Argentina, El Salvador, Ecuador, and Guatemala, often reducing baseline tariffs in exchange for market access and supply-chain commitments. The March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes converting additional frameworks—such as those with the European Union, South Korea, Switzerland, and Vietnam—into full agreements while pursuing enforcement and critical minerals deals. Ongoing talks and scheduled diplomatic engagements through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts that could determine further outcomes before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$268,681
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「韓国」で28%、次いで「カナダ」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？」は$268.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「韓国」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「カナダ」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。